Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup East End Park

Dunfermline

4 - 1

Dumbarton

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Tod A.

Assist: Rudden Z.

38'

Shaw O.

Assist: Fraser R.

46'

Sub

Campbell C. In: Robson T.

Out: Campbell C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dunfermline in this League Cup matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunfermline.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Dunfermline

Draws

Dumbarton

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dunfermline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Dumbarton haven't matched Dunfermline's recent run of results.
Model gives Dunfermline a 90% chance of winning this.
Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Dunfermline here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Dunfermline Clean Sheet 68%

Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dunfermline	Dumbarton
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	14	5
Draws	6	7
Losses	10	17
Goals Scored	0.75	0.57
Goals Conceded	1	3
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Cup

Dunfermline vs Dumbarton

Possession: 41% - 40% Cards: 1 - 0

4:1

Jul 19, 2025 League Cup

Dumbarton vs Dunfermline

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

0:4

Jul 17, 2021 League Cup

Dunfermline vs Dumbarton

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

5:1

Oct 6, 2020 League Cup

Dumbarton vs Dunfermline

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Jul 2, 2019 Club Friendly

Dumbarton vs Dunfermline

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunfermline Compare

Top Goalscorer Tod A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Shaw O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Dumbarton Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirkpatrick K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.52

Avg xA / game 0.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunfermline 95 / 100

Dumbarton 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dunfermline Dumbarton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dumbarton conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Dumbarton's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Dunfermline found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Dunfermline VS Dumbarton

0.75 Goals Scored 0.57

1 Goals Conceded 3

63% Over 1.5 71%

25% Over 2.5 71%

13% Over 3.5 57%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Queen's Park	2	2	0	5:1	6
2	Aberdeen	1	1	0	2:0	3
3	Kelty Hearts	2	1	1	1:3	2
4	Queen of the South	1	0	1	1:1	1
5	Brora Rangers	2	0	2	1:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Stirling	2	1	1	3:2	3
2	Arbroath	1	1	0	2:1	3
3	Montrose	1	1	0	1:0	3
4	Dundee Utd	2	1	1	1:1	3
5	Spartans	2	0	2	2:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	St. Mirren	1	1	0	4:0	3
2	East Kilbride	2	1	1	5:3	3
3	Cove Rangers	1	1	0	3:2	3
4	Dunfermline	2	1	1	4:4	3
5	Dumbarton	2	0	2	1:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Dundee FC	2	2	0	9:2	6
2	Ross County	1	1	0	4:1	3
3	Clyde	1	1	0	1:0	3
4	Airdrieonians	2	0	2	2:5	0
5	Annan	2	0	2	1:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Partick	2	2	0	10:0	6
2	Livingston	1	1	0	2:0	3
3	Stenhousemuir	1	1	0	2:0	3
4	Forfar Athletic	2	0	2	0:6	0
5	Brechin	2	0	2	0:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	East Fife	2	1	1	3:1	4
2	St Johnstone	1	1	0	2:0	3
3	Linlithgow Rose	2	1	1	1:2	3
4	Inverness	1	1	0	1:1	2
5	Morton	2	0	2	0:3	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Ayr	2	2	0	4:2	6
2	Falkirk	2	1	1	5:1	3
3	Edinburgh City	2	1	1	2:5	3
4	Stranraer	1	0	1	2:3	0
5	Alloa	1	0	1	0:2	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Raith	2	1	1	3:1	4
2	Peterhead	2	1	1	3:2	3
3	Hamilton	1	1	0	1:0	3
4	Kilmarnock	1	1	0	0:0	2
5	Elgin City	2	0	2	2:6	0