Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunfermline vs Arbroath

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 East End Park, Dunfermline
Dunfermline Logo

Dunfermline

0 - 0
FT
Arbroath Logo

Arbroath

Our Tip

Match Events

41'
MacLeod R.
46'
Sub
O'Brien T. In: Muirhead A.
Out: O'Brien T.
58'
Sub
Mebude D. In: Dow R.
Out: Mebude D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Dunfermline and Arbroath finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Dunfermline
30%
Draws
37%
Arbroath
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arbroath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dunfermline come out ahead of Arbroath on wins alone.
  • Dunfermline are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 68%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunfermline Arbroath
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Championship
Arbroath vs Dunfermline
1:1
May 8, 2026 Championship
Arbroath vs Dunfermline
0:0
May 5, 2026 Championship
Dunfermline vs Arbroath
1:0
May 1, 2026 Championship
Dunfermline vs Arbroath
0:0
Feb 21, 2026 Championship
Arbroath vs Dunfermline
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunfermline 50 / 100
Arbroath 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunfermline Arbroath

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunfermline Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunfermline's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Arbroath conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Dunfermline remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunfermline VS Arbroath
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunfermline

(Home)
12 Sept
Dunfermline
2 : 0
Queen's Park
05 Sept
Arbroath
1 : 1
Dunfermline
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
22 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0
Dunfermline
15 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 2
Ross County
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Arbroath

(Away)
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
05 Sept
Arbroath
1 : 1
Dunfermline
29 Aug
Arbroath
1 : 0
Livingston
22 Aug
Morton
1 : 2
Arbroath
08 Aug
Arbroath
0 : 0
Inverness
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Johnstone 36 22 11 3 67:25 77
2 Partick 36 17 15 4 53:36 66
3 Arbroath 36 13 13 10 43:41 52
4 Dunfermline 36 14 9 13 52:41 51
5 Raith 36 12 9 15 43:42 45
6 Queen's Park 36 9 14 13 35:48 41
7 Ayr 36 8 15 13 38:47 39
8 Morton 36 8 14 14 36:52 38
9 Airdrieonians 36 8 12 16 35:49 36
10 Ross County 36 8 10 18 36:57 34
Promotion - Premiership (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - League One (Main)