Sport Picks

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Dunfermline vs Livingston

Scotland Scotland

Championship East End Park, Dunfermline
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dunfermline host Livingston in the Championship. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Dunfermline at 1.34 goals for, 0.91 against; Livingston at 1.59 for, 1.24 against. Past meetings favor Dunfermline slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.38) point toward Dunfermline. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dunfermline
20%
Draws
33%
Livingston
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dunfermline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dunfermline come out ahead of Livingston on wins alone.
  • Dunfermline are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 17%
Livingston Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunfermline Livingston
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Championship
Livingston vs Dunfermline
2:0
Apr 2, 2025 Championship
Dunfermline vs Livingston
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Championship
Livingston vs Dunfermline
0:0
Feb 5, 2025 Challenge Cup
Dunfermline vs Livingston
0:2
Oct 29, 2024 Championship
Dunfermline vs Livingston
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunfermline 36 / 100
Livingston 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunfermline Livingston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunfermline's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Livingston conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Dunfermline stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunfermline VS Livingston
0.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunfermline

(Home)
19 Sept
Morton
0 : 1
Dunfermline
12 Sept
Dunfermline
2 : 0
Queen's Park
05 Sept
Arbroath
1 : 1
Dunfermline
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
22 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0
Dunfermline
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Livingston

(Away)
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
29 Aug
Arbroath
1 : 0
Livingston
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 8 7 1 0 12:2 22
2 Raith 8 4 2 2 11:5 14
3 Livingston 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 Partick 7 3 3 1 5:2 12
5 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
6 Arbroath 8 3 2 3 6:10 11
7 Inverness 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
8 Ayr 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
9 Queen's Park 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
10 Morton 8 0 1 7 4:15 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)