Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunfermline vs Partick

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 East End Park, Dunfermline
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Morrison C.
Assist: Todd M.
24' Event
Stanway B.
Assist: Fitzpatrick A.
65'
Smyth O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dunfermline
30%
Draws
33%
Partick
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dunfermline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Partick haven't matched Dunfermline's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dunfermline a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Dunfermline have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 68%
Partick Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunfermline Partick
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 12
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.61 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Championship
Partick vs Dunfermline
2:1
May 12, 2026 Championship
Dunfermline vs Partick
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Championship
Partick vs Dunfermline
2:0
Feb 24, 2026 Championship
Dunfermline vs Partick
2:2
Nov 25, 2025 Championship
Partick vs Dunfermline
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunfermline Compare

Top Goalscorer Morrison C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Partick Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanway B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunfermline 68 / 100
Partick 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunfermline Partick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunfermline Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Dunfermline stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dunfermline scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Partick has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dunfermline VS Partick
2 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunfermline

(Home)
08 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 1
Ayr
01 Aug
Inverness
0 : 0
Dunfermline
26 Jul
St. Mirren
0 : 1
Dunfermline
21 Jul
Dunfermline
5 : 0
Cove Rangers
14 Jul
Dunfermline
4 : 1
Dumbarton
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Partick

(Away)
07 Aug
Partick
2 : 0
Livingston
01 Aug
Morton
0 : 1
Partick
26 Jul
Clydebank FC
2 : 2
Partick
21 Jul
Partick
2 : 3
Stenhousemuir
18 Jul
Livingston
1 : 2
Partick
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
St. Mirren -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
TBD -
Arbroath 0
Dunfermline 1
Semi-finals
St. Mirren -
TBD -
Partick 3
Dunfermline 2
Final
St. Mirren 2
Partick 1