Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunfermline vs Raith

Scotland Scotland

Championship East End Park, Dunfermline
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Fordyce C. In: Baird J.
Out: Fordyce C.
30'
Cleall-Harding S.
46'
Sub
Montagu K. In: Tiffoney S.
Out: Montagu K.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Dunfermline and Raith finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dunfermline.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dunfermline
20%
Draws
40%
Raith
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Dunfermline have managed 1.42 goals a game lately — Raith are scoring more at 1.52.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Dunfermline here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 24%
Raith Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunfermline Raith
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.42 1.52
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Championship
Dunfermline vs Raith
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Championship
Dunfermline vs Raith
3:0
Dec 27, 2025 Championship
Raith vs Dunfermline
1:2
Oct 17, 2025 Championship
Dunfermline vs Raith
2:0
Aug 22, 2025 Championship
Raith vs Dunfermline
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunfermline Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooper J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Raith Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunfermline 37 / 100
Raith 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunfermline Raith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raith Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunfermline scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Raith has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Dunfermline went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunfermline VS Raith
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunfermline

(Home)
19 Sept
Morton
0 : 1
Dunfermline
12 Sept
Dunfermline
2 : 0
Queen's Park
05 Sept
Arbroath
1 : 1
Dunfermline
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
22 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0
Dunfermline
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Raith

(Away)
19 Sept
Partick
0 : 0
Raith
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2
Raith
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0
Ayr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 7 6 1 0 11:2 19
2 Raith 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Partick 7 3 3 1 5:2 12
4 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Livingston 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
6 Ayr 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
7 Arbroath 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
8 Inverness 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
9 Queen's Park 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Morton 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)