Sport Picks

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Dunfermline vs Raith

Scotland Scotland

Championship East End Park, Dunfermline
Fri, Aug 28, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dunfermline host Raith in the Championship. Little to choose between these two on current form. Raith have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Dunfermline have conceded 1.38 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Dunfermline have won 3 to Raith's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.44) back Dunfermline to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Dunfermline
20%
Draws
23%
Raith
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dunfermline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dunfermline come out ahead of Raith on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dunfermline's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 16%
Raith Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunfermline Raith
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Championship
Dunfermline vs Raith
3:0
Dec 27, 2025 Championship
Raith vs Dunfermline
1:2
Oct 17, 2025 Championship
Dunfermline vs Raith
2:0
Aug 22, 2025 Championship
Raith vs Dunfermline
2:0
Mar 14, 2025 Championship
Raith vs Dunfermline
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunfermline 84 / 100
Raith 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunfermline Raith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunfermline found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Raith let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Dunfermline went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunfermline VS Raith
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunfermline

(Home)
01 Aug
Inverness
0 : 0
Dunfermline
26 Jul
St. Mirren
0 : 1
Dunfermline
21 Jul
Dunfermline
5 : 0
Cove Rangers
14 Jul
Dunfermline
4 : 1
Dumbarton
11 Jul
East Kilbride
3 : 0
Dunfermline
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Raith

(Away)
01 Aug
Raith
1 : 1
Stenhousemuir
24 Jul
Raith
0 : 1
Hearts
21 Jul
Raith
1 : 0
Peterhead
18 Jul
Hamilton
2 : 1
Raith
14 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0
Raith
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livingston 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ayr 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Partick 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Raith 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Stenhousemuir 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Inverness 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Dunfermline 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Morton 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
9 Queen's Park 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
10 Arbroath 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)