Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunfermline vs St Johnstone

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 East End Park, Dunfermline
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Sub
Oakley-Boothe T. In: Gilmour C.
Out: Oakley-Boothe T.
45'
Ngwenya K.
52'
Gilmour C.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Dunfermline and St Johnstone finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St Johnstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Dunfermline
30%
Draws
31%
St Johnstone
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dunfermline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • St Johnstone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Dunfermline taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 18%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunfermline St Johnstone
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.45 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Championship
Dunfermline vs St Johnstone
0:2
Jan 24, 2026 Championship
St Johnstone vs Dunfermline
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Championship
Dunfermline vs St Johnstone
2:2
Sep 19, 2025 Championship
St Johnstone vs Dunfermline
2:1
Jul 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Dunfermline vs St Johnstone
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunfermline Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

St Johnstone Compare

Top Goalscorer McAlear R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paton R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunfermline 36 / 100
St Johnstone 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunfermline St Johnstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunfermline found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Dunfermline remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: St Johnstone has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunfermline VS St Johnstone
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunfermline

(Home)
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
22 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0
Dunfermline
15 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 2
Ross County
08 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 1
Ayr
01 Aug
Inverness
0 : 0
Dunfermline
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St Johnstone

(Away)
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
29 Aug
Hearts
2 : 1
St Johnstone
08 Aug
St. Mirren
1 : 0
St Johnstone
02 Aug
St Johnstone
4 : 3
Kilmarnock
25 Jul
St Johnstone
1 : 2
East Fife
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Johnstone 36 22 11 3 67:25 77
2 Partick 36 17 15 4 53:36 66
3 Arbroath 36 13 13 10 43:41 52
4 Dunfermline 36 14 9 13 52:41 51
5 Raith 36 12 9 15 43:42 45
6 Queen's Park 36 9 14 13 35:48 41
7 Ayr 36 8 15 13 38:47 39
8 Morton 36 8 14 14 36:52 38
9 Airdrieonians 36 8 12 16 35:49 36
10 Ross County 36 8 10 18 36:57 34
Promotion - Premiership (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - League One (Main)