Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dungannon vs Ballymena

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Stangmore Park, Dungannon
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Rutkowski I.
28'
Whiteside S.
32'
Sub
Hood J. In: McCallion D.
Out: Hood J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NIFL Premiership matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Dungannon
35%
Draws
19%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dungannon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Dungannon have won more games recently than Ballymena.
  • Model gives Dungannon a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 18%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dungannon Ballymena
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 20 12
Draws 3 11
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.74 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Ballymena
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Ballymena
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Dungannon
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Dungannon
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Ballymena
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dungannon Compare

Top Goalscorer Wallace D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ballymena Compare

Top Goalscorer Rutkowski I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dungannon 67 / 100
Ballymena 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dungannon Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dungannon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dungannon's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Ballymena let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Dungannon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dungannon VS Ballymena
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dungannon

(Home)
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
29 Aug
Cliftonville
0 : 2
Dungannon
Page 1 of 8

Ballymena

(Away)
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2
Ballymena
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2
Glentoran
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)