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Dungannon vs Carrick Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Stangmore Park, Dungannon
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dungannon host Carrick Rangers in the NIFL Premiership. This one's hard to separate. Dungannon have averaged 1.68 scored and 1.47 conceded recently, against Carrick Rangers's 2.03 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Dungannon slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 6, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.19) back Carrick Rangers to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dungannon
20%
Draws
40%
Carrick Rangers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Dungannon have won more games recently than Carrick Rangers.
  • Model gives Dungannon a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 20%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dungannon Carrick Rangers
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.68 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Carrick Rangers
3:1
Jan 24, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon
5:1
Dec 13, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon
3:3
Aug 23, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Carrick Rangers
0:2
Mar 1, 2025 Irish Cup
Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dungannon 36 / 100
Carrick Rangers 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dungannon Carrick Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Dungannon scored in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Defensive concern: Carrick Rangers conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Carrick Rangers lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dungannon VS Carrick Rangers
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dungannon

(Home)
03 Oct
Glentoran
2 : 0
Dungannon
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
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Carrick Rangers

(Away)
03 Oct
Carrick Rangers
4 : 0
Crusaders
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 10 8 1 1 22:10 25
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Glentoran 10 5 1 4 15:10 16
5 Crusaders 10 5 0 5 15:18 15
6 Carrick Rangers 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
7 Dungannon 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Ballymena 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
9 Cliftonville 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
10 Limavady 9 3 0 6 8:14 9
11 Bangor FC 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
12 Portadown 10 1 1 8 8:20 4
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)