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Dungannon vs Coleraine

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Stangmore Park, Dungannon
Dungannon Logo

Dungannon

1 - 2
FT
Coleraine Logo

Coleraine

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Moore K.
28' Event
Cooper J.
46'
Sub
Gordon S. In: McGinty C.
Out: Gordon S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Coleraine in this NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coleraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dungannon
20%
Draws
33%
Coleraine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dungannon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coleraine lately — more wins on the board than Dungannon.
  • Model gives Dungannon a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Coleraine here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 19%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dungannon Coleraine
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 19
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.79 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Coleraine
1:3
May 2, 2026 Irish Cup
Dungannon vs Coleraine
2:3
Mar 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Coleraine
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Coleraine
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Dungannon
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dungannon Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooper J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coyle M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dungannon 85 / 100
Coleraine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dungannon Coleraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dungannon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dungannon scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Coleraine has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Dungannon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dungannon VS Coleraine
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dungannon

(Home)
22 Aug
Dungannon
2 : 0
Bangor FC
15 Aug
Portadown
0 : 1
Dungannon
08 Aug
Dungannon
1 : 3
Coleraine
01 Aug
Moyola
0 : 3
Dungannon
25 Jul
Harland & Wolff
1 : 1
Dungannon
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Coleraine

(Away)
22 Aug
Carrick Rangers
0 : 2
Coleraine
15 Aug
Coleraine
0 : 0
Larne
08 Aug
Dungannon
1 : 3
Coleraine
30 Jul
Coleraine
0 : 3
HJK
23 Jul
HJK
5 : 0
Coleraine
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Larne 38 25 8 5 73:26 83
2 Coleraine 38 25 5 8 83:37 80
3 Glentoran 38 23 8 7 73:38 77
4 Linfield 38 19 9 10 61:33 66
5 Cliftonville 38 15 8 15 55:59 53
6 Dungannon 38 15 1 22 42:77 46
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)