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Dungannon vs Crusaders - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Stangmore Park, Dungannon
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dungannon host Crusaders in the NIFL Premiership. This one's hard to separate. Dungannon have averaged 1.61 scored and 1.58 conceded recently, against Crusaders's 1.48 scored and 1.72 conceded. Past meetings favor Crusaders slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 15, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.50, favoring Dungannon. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Dungannon
15%
Draws
0%
Crusaders
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dungannon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dungannon have won more games recently than Crusaders.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Dungannon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 16%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dungannon Crusaders
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Dungannon
3:0
Jan 3, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Dungannon
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Crusaders
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Crusaders
0:3
Apr 26, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Crusaders
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dungannon 84 / 100
Crusaders 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dungannon Crusaders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dungannon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crusaders lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Dungannon scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Crusaders's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Dungannon VS Crusaders
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dungannon

(Home)
24 Oct
Dungannon
1 : 3
Cliftonville
20 Oct
Bangor FC
1 : 2
Dungannon
17 Oct
Bangor FC
0 : 0
Dungannon
10 Oct
Dungannon
2 : 4
Carrick Rangers
03 Oct
Glentoran
2 : 0
Dungannon
Page 1 of 7

Crusaders

(Away)
24 Oct
Crusaders
0 : 5
Coleraine
21 Oct
Warrenpoint
5 : 2
Crusaders
17 Oct
Ballymena
2 : 1
Crusaders
10 Oct
Crusaders
0 : 3
Larne
03 Oct
Carrick Rangers
4 : 0
Crusaders
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 14 11 2 1 32:13 35
2 Linfield 13 10 2 1 20:10 32
3 Larne 12 8 2 2 22:10 26
4 Glentoran 13 6 3 4 17:11 21
5 Carrick Rangers 13 5 3 5 22:20 18
6 Ballymena 11 4 3 4 17:15 15
7 Cliftonville 13 5 0 8 16:16 15
8 Crusaders 13 5 0 8 16:28 15
9 Dungannon 12 4 2 6 12:17 14
10 Limavady 13 4 2 7 13:19 14
11 Portadown 14 2 2 10 11:24 8
12 Bangor FC 13 1 3 9 11:26 6
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)