Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunkerque vs Lucon

France France

National 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Huysman J.
14' Event
El Hamzaoui B.
34' Event
Tamboura H.

AI Match Summary

Dunkerque in this National 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunkerque.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Dunkerque
20%
Draws
16%
Lucon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dunkerque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Dunkerque have won more games recently than Lucon.
  • Dunkerque are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Dunkerque here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 68%
Lucon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunkerque Lucon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2016 Ligue 3
Dunkerque vs Lucon
5:1
Dec 11, 2015 Ligue 3
Lucon vs Dunkerque
0:1
Jan 30, 2015 Ligue 3
Dunkerque vs Lucon
0:1
Aug 22, 2014 Ligue 3
Lucon vs Dunkerque
0:1
Jan 25, 2014 Ligue 3
Dunkerque vs Lucon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunkerque Compare

Top Goalscorer Huysman J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Hamzaoui B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Lucon Compare

Top Goalscorer Gbohou S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunkerque 95 / 100
Lucon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunkerque Lucon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunkerque Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucon let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Dunkerque found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lucon's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunkerque VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunkerque

(Home)
18 Sept
Pau
2 : 0
Dunkerque
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1
St Etienne
04 Sept
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Clermont
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Montpellier
Page 1 of 6

Lucon

(Away)
13 Nov
Lucon
0 : 2
Laval
03 Jun
Lucon
3 : 3
Les Herbiers
27 May
Beziers
1 : 0
Lucon
13 May
Lucon
1 : 5
Orleans
06 May
Dunkerque
5 : 1
Lucon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Strasbourg 34 15 13 6 35:19 58
2 Orleans 34 14 14 6 50:37 56
3 Amiens SC 34 14 13 7 44:35 55
4 Athletico Marseille 34 15 9 10 50:43 54
5 Chateauroux 34 14 10 10 52:45 52
6 Dunkerque 34 12 11 11 42:42 47
7 Avranches 34 10 16 8 44:36 46
8 Boulogne 34 12 10 12 50:45 46
9 Chambly 34 11 11 12 46:40 44
10 Beziers 34 11 11 12 35:38 44
11 Lucon 34 11 11 12 45:50 44
12 Sedan 34 10 13 11 31:34 43
13 Borgo 34 10 13 11 29:33 43
14 Belfort 34 9 14 11 26:32 41
15 Les Herbiers 34 8 15 11 44:51 39
16 Colmar 34 10 9 15 39:46 37
17 Epinal 34 6 12 16 39:53 30
18 Frejus Saint Raphael 34 4 15 15 22:44 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)