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Dunkerque vs St Etienne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Le Cardinal J.
39'
Lebeau A.
43' Event
Boakye A.
Assist: Davitashvili Z.

AI Match Summary

Dunkerque in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunkerque.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Dunkerque
15%
Draws
64%
St Etienne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Etienne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St Etienne lately — more wins on the board than Dunkerque.
  • Win probability leans St Etienne's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 10%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunkerque St Etienne
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.27 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs St Etienne
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Dunkerque
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs St Etienne
1:0
Feb 3, 2024 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs St Etienne
1:0
Oct 4, 2023 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Dunkerque
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunkerque Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayari K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keita S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

St Etienne Compare

Top Goalscorer Boakye A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunkerque 10 / 100
St Etienne 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunkerque St Etienne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Dunkerque found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (26 games).

St Etienne let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Dunkerque remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunkerque VS St Etienne
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunkerque

(Home)
30 Oct
Rodez
1 : 0
Dunkerque
23 Oct
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Metz
17 Oct
Nantes
2 : 3
Dunkerque
09 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Annecy
02 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 4
RAAL La Louviere
Page 1 of 6

St Etienne

(Away)
31 Oct
Guingamp
3 : 0
St Etienne
24 Oct
St Etienne
1 : 0
Nantes
17 Oct
Red Star
0 : 1
St Etienne
10 Oct
St Etienne
2 : 0
Rodez
02 Oct
St Etienne
5 : 1
Sion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 11 8 1 2 23:11 25
2 Montpellier 11 7 3 1 16:6 24
3 Nancy 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
4 Reims 11 5 6 0 22:12 21
5 Pau 11 6 2 3 16:11 20
6 Red Star 11 5 2 4 14:16 17
7 Annecy 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
8 Dijon 11 4 3 4 20:19 15
9 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 16:15 14
10 Metz 11 3 5 3 17:17 14
11 Rodez 11 4 1 6 17:22 13
12 Dunkerque 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 Sochaux 11 2 5 4 8:14 11
14 Boulogne 11 1 7 3 7:8 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
16 Laval 11 2 3 6 14:21 9
17 Clermont 11 0 8 3 10:15 8
18 Grenoble 11 2 2 7 10:20 8
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)