Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunkerque vs St Etienne

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Le Cardinal J.
39'
Lebeau A.
43' Event
Boakye A.
Assist: Davitashvili Z.

AI Match Summary

Dunkerque in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunkerque.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Dunkerque
20%
Draws
60%
St Etienne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St Etienne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St Etienne lately — more wins on the board than Dunkerque.
  • Win probability leans St Etienne's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 10%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunkerque St Etienne
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 6 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.31 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs St Etienne
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Dunkerque
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs St Etienne
1:0
Feb 3, 2024 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs St Etienne
1:0
Oct 4, 2023 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Dunkerque
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunkerque Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayari K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keita S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

St Etienne Compare

Top Goalscorer Boakye A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunkerque 10 / 100
St Etienne 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunkerque St Etienne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkerque found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (26 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Dunkerque went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: St Etienne conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dunkerque VS St Etienne
1.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunkerque

(Home)
04 Sept
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Clermont
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Montpellier
14 Aug
Reims
3 : 3
Dunkerque
08 Aug
Dunkerque
4 : 2
Grenoble
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St Etienne

(Away)
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1
Montpellier
31 Aug
Dijon
2 : 3
St Etienne
22 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 0
Grenoble
14 Aug
St Etienne
3 : 1
Clermont
08 Aug
Sochaux
0 : 3
St Etienne
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 5 5 0 0 16:4 15
2 Reims 6 3 3 0 14:8 12
3 Montpellier 6 3 2 1 5:4 11
4 Annecy 5 3 1 1 7:5 10
5 Metz 5 2 3 0 8:4 9
6 Red Star 5 2 2 1 5:6 8
7 Nancy 6 2 1 3 4:4 7
8 Rodez 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
9 Grenoble 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
10 Dijon 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
11 Sochaux 5 1 3 1 2:4 6
12 Guingamp 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Clermont 6 0 5 1 3:5 5
14 Dunkerque 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
15 Boulogne 6 0 5 1 2:3 5
16 Pau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
17 Nantes 5 1 1 3 7:11 4
18 Laval 6 1 1 4 7:13 4
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)