Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunstable Town vs Gosport Borough

England England

Southern Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dunstable Town play Gosport Borough in the Southern Premier League. Gosport Borough are favorites here. Recently, Dunstable Town averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. Gosport Borough averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Dunstable Town won 0, Gosport Borough won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2018 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Dunstable Town and 1.05 for Gosport Borough. This points to a Gosport Borough double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Dunstable Town
15%
Draws
69%
Gosport Borough
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gosport Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dunstable Town picked up more points recently compared to Gosport Borough.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Dunstable Town Clean Sheet 22%
Gosport Borough Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunstable Town Gosport Borough
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0.73 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.69

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2018 Southern Premier League
Dunstable Town vs Gosport Borough
0:2
Nov 18, 2017 Southern Premier League
Gosport Borough vs Dunstable Town
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunstable Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Gosport Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McAllister C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunstable Town 19 / 100
Gosport Borough 64 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunstable Town Gosport Borough

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gosport Borough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Gosport Borough & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dunstable Town attacking → ← attacking Gosport Borough

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunstable Town scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Gosport Borough let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Dunstable Town went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Gosport Borough lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 47
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hereford463655111:33113
2King’s Lynn463010699:39100
3Slough Town463097111:4999
4Kettering463079122:5697
5Weymouth463079103:4897
6Tiverton462461678:6978
7Royston Town462451784:6577
8Chesham4621111485:6174
9Banbury4619151290:5972
10Basingstoke462181792:7271
11Hitchin461991867:6666
12Neots4617131679:7964
13Frome Town461872178:9661
14Redditch4615102173:7355
15Stratford4615102168:8155
16Biggleswade Town4614112152:6353
17Merthyr Town4613141976:9853
18Stortford4614102274:7952
19Dorchester4613122162:8351
20Farnborough461562582:12051
21Kings Langley468142463:9838
22St Ives Town46892954:10533
23Gosport Borough46553641:14220
24Dunstable Town46453727:13717