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Duque de Caxias vs America RJ

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Eduardo M.
68' Event
Matheus Iacovelli

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Duque de Caxias
33%
Draws
40%
America RJ
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: America RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • America RJ average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Duque de Caxias's 0.
  • Win probability leans America RJ's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Duque de Caxias Clean Sheet 10%
America RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duque de Caxias America RJ
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 3 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Carioca 2
Duque de Caxias vs America RJ
1:1
Jun 22, 2024 Carioca 2
Duque de Caxias vs America RJ
1:0
Aug 7, 2021 Carioca 2
America RJ vs Duque de Caxias
1:0
Mar 27, 2011 Carioca
America RJ vs Duque de Caxias
1:2
Feb 28, 2010 Carioca
Duque de Caxias vs America RJ
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duque de Caxias Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

America RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Iacovelli
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duque de Caxias 26 / 100
America RJ 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duque de Caxias America RJ

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America RJ's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: America RJ registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Duque de Caxias found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Duque de Caxias VS America RJ
0 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Goncalo1154213:819
2Bangu1144311:816
3CEAC/Araruama114438:916
4Olaria1143414:1015
5Resende114348:1015
6America RJ113537:714
7Cabofriense113539:1014
8Perolas Negras1134410:1013
9Americano1144313:1012
10Audax RJ1133511:1512
11Duque de Caxias113358:1212
12Goncalense112639:1212