Sport Picks

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Duque de Caxias vs Cabofriense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2025 Estádio Romário de Souza Faria, Duque de Caxias
Our Tip

Match Events

81'
Everton Felipe
90'
Eduardo M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Duque de Caxias
20%
Draws
20%
Cabofriense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Duque de Caxias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Duque de Caxias have won more games recently than Cabofriense.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Duque de Caxias taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Duque de Caxias Clean Sheet 68%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duque de Caxias Cabofriense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.93 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Carioca 2
Duque de Caxias vs Cabofriense
0:0
Jul 13, 2024 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Duque de Caxias
1:2
Jun 26, 2021 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Duque de Caxias
3:2
Feb 2, 2014 Carioca
Cabofriense vs Duque de Caxias
2:1
Feb 13, 2011 Carioca
Cabofriense vs Duque de Caxias
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duque de Caxias 59 / 100
Cabofriense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duque de Caxias Cabofriense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duque de Caxias Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabofriense let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Cabofriense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Duque de Caxias found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Duque de Caxias VS Cabofriense
1.14 Goals Scored 1.25
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Duque de Caxias

(Home)
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
05 Sept
Duque de Caxias
3 : 0
Nova Cidade
23 Jun
Olaria
4 : 0
Duque de Caxias
17 Jun
Duque de Caxias
0 : 2
Olaria
22 Nov
Bonsucesso
2 : 0
Duque de Caxias
Page 1 of 6

Cabofriense

(Away)
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0
Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1
Cabofriense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Goncalo 11 5 4 2 13:8 19
2 Bangu 11 4 4 3 11:8 16
3 CEAC/Araruama 11 4 4 3 8:9 16
4 Olaria 11 4 3 4 14:10 15
5 Resende 11 4 3 4 8:10 15
6 America RJ 11 3 5 3 7:7 14
7 Cabofriense 11 3 5 3 9:10 14
8 Perolas Negras 11 3 4 4 10:10 13
9 Americano 11 4 4 3 13:10 12
10 Audax RJ 11 3 3 5 11:15 12
11 Duque de Caxias 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
12 Goncalense 11 2 6 3 9:12 12
Promotion - Carioca 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 2025 (Main)