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AI Match Summary
Duque de Caxias in this Carioca B1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Duque de Caxias.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Duque de Caxias have won more games recently than Goncalense.
- Model gives Duque de Caxias a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Carioca B1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Duque de Caxias | Goncalense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Duque de Caxias Compare
Goncalense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Goncalense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Duque de Caxias remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Duque de Caxias scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Duque de Caxias
(Home)Goncalense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bonsucesso | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sao Cristovao | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Serrano FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Duque de Caxias | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Niteroiense | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Goncalense | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Nova Cidade | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 16 |
| 8 | Campo Grande | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 9:8 | 15 |
| 9 | Artsul | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | AA Carapebus | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Paduano EC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 12 | Friburguense | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:13 | 4 |