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Duque de Caxias vs Olaria

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Beto
66' Event
Costa P.

AI Match Summary

Olaria in this Copa Rio matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Duque de Caxias
39%
Draws
30%
Olaria
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Olaria average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Duque de Caxias's 0.88.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Duque de Caxias Clean Sheet 18%
Olaria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duque de Caxias Olaria
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Copa Rio
Olaria vs Duque de Caxias
4:0
Jun 17, 2026 Copa Rio
Duque de Caxias vs Olaria
0:2
May 31, 2025 Carioca 2
Duque de Caxias vs Olaria
3:2
Aug 11, 2024 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Duque de Caxias
1:0
Aug 3, 2024 Carioca 2
Duque de Caxias vs Olaria
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duque de Caxias Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Olaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Beto
1 Goals
Assists Leader Costa P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duque de Caxias 32 / 100
Olaria 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duque de Caxias Olaria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Duque de Caxias found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Olaria conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Duque de Caxias has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Duque de Caxias VS Olaria
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Cabofriense1
Bonsucesso3
TBD-
Madureira-
Americano2
Macae1
TBD-
Portuguesa RJ-
CEAC/Araruama2
Sao Cristovao1
TBD-
Boavista-
Perolas Negras10
Santa Cruz RJ1
TBD-
Marica-
America RJ-
Goytacaz-
TBD-
Nova Iguacu-
Olaria6
Duque de Caxias0
TBD-
Bangu-
Sao Goncalo3
Serrano FC2
TBD-
Volta Redonda-
Resende11
Belford Roxo2
TBD-
Sampaio Correa FE-
1/8-finals
Bonsucesso-
Madureira-
Americano-
Portuguesa RJ-
CEAC/Araruama-
Boavista-
Perolas Negras-
Marica-
America RJ-
Nova Iguacu-
Olaria-
Bangu-
Sao Goncalo-
Volta Redonda-
Resende-
Sampaio Correa FE-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-