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Duque de Caxias W vs EC Resende W

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Thamyres
66' Event
Costa C.

AI Match Summary

Duque de Caxias W host EC Resende W in the Carioca Women 2024. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Duque de Caxias W at 1 goals for, 2.38 against; EC Resende W at 0.5 for, 8.13 against. Past meetings favor EC Resende W slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 5, 2024, ending 0:2. xG projections (4.00 - 1.44) back EC Resende W to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Duque de Caxias W
6%
Draws
4%
EC Resende W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Duque de Caxias W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Duque de Caxias W demonstrates higher offensive output (1 avg goals) than EC Resende W (0.5 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Duque de Caxias W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Carioca Women 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Duque de Caxias W Clean Sheet 16%
EC Resende W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duque de Caxias W EC Resende W
Matches Played 13 12
Wins 3 3
Draws 1 1
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 8.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 8.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Carioca Women
Duque de Caxias W vs EC Resende W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duque de Caxias W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

EC Resende W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thamyres
1 Goals
Assists Leader Costa C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duque de Caxias W 84 / 100
EC Resende W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duque de Caxias W EC Resende W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUQ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duque de Caxias W scored in 46% of their last 13 games.

EC Resende W let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Duque de Caxias W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

EC Resende W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Duque de Caxias W VS EC Resende W
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 8.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo RJ W550029:215
2CR Flamengo W550019:115
3Perolas Negras W53118:410
4EC Resende W52124:97
5Olaria W51042:253
6Boavista W50051:360
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fluminense W640229:512
2Vasco W631227:510
3CEAC/Araruama W621311:107
4Duque de Caxias W62046:186
5Serra Macaense W61054:253