Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Durban City vs Port Louis

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup Chatsworth Stadium, Durban
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF Confederation Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Durban City at 0.87 goals for, 0.9 against; Port Louis at 1.33 for, 1.47 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.71 - 1.00) back Durban City to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Durban City
35%
Draws
32%
Port Louis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Durban City haven't matched Port Louis's recent run of results.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Port Louis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Durban City Clean Sheet 20%
Port Louis Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Durban City Port Louis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Durban City 31 / 100
Port Louis 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Durban City Port Louis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Durban City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Durban City's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Port Louis conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Durban City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Port Louis lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Durban City VS Port Louis
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.67
50% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Durban City

(Home)
20 Sept
Milford
1 : 1
Durban City
17 Sept
Orlando Pirates
2 : 0
Durban City
13 Sept
Rukinzo
1 : 2
Durban City
06 Sept
Durban City
1 : 0
Rukinzo
01 Sept
Durban City
0 : 0
Stellenbosch FC
Page 1 of 6

Port Louis

(Away)
12 Sept
Jwaneng Galaxy
0 : 1
Port Louis
04 Sept
Port Louis
1 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
28 Apr
Cercle De Joachim
1 : 1
Port Louis
22 Apr
Port Louis
3 : 0
PAS Mates
18 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 0
Port Louis
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC -
Azam -
Welwalo Adigrat -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
Tusker -
Singida Black Stars -
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo -
FAR Rabat -
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD -
CS Sfaxien -
Zarzis -
Real Bamako -
Diarra -
ASKO Kara -
Kabuscorp -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City -
Port Louis -
Rayon Sport -
Associacao Black Bulls -
Virunga -
Primeiro de Agosto -