Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2011/2012

Durham

1 - 1

United of Manchester

Our Tip

Match Events

44'

46'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The FA Trophy 2011/2012 game between Durham and United of Manchester finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Durham

Draws

90%

United of Manchester

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: United of Manchester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

United of Manchester carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on United of Manchester taking it.
Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Durham Clean Sheet 13%

United of Manchester Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Durham	United of Manchester
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	6	15
Draws	1	7
Losses	22	10
Goals Scored	0	2.25
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2011 FA Trophy

United of Manchester vs Durham

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

3:1

Nov 5, 2011 FA Trophy

Durham vs United of Manchester

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Mar 13, 2010 NPL Premier Division

United of Manchester vs Durham

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Jan 30, 2010 NPL Premier Division

Durham vs United of Manchester

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Durham 10 / 100

United of Manchester 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Durham United of Manchester

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United of Manchester has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: United of Manchester has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Durham's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS United of Manchester

0 Goals Scored 2.25

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 100%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals

Curzon Ashton-

TBD-

Farsley-

Barton2

Shepshed1

Carlton Town4

Belper Town5

Chester-

TBD-

Ashton United-

Newcastle Town1

Woodford0

TBD-

Stafford-

Northwich Victoria-

TBD-

Trafford1

AFC Fylde4

Garforth5

Lancaster1

TBD-

Buxton-

Hednesford-

TBD-

Market Drayton1

Bedworth United2

Stamford5

Coalville Town4

TBD-

Matlock-

Stourbridge-

TBD-

Redditch-

Nantwich-

TBD-

Kendal-

Radcliffe3

New Mills2

TBD-

Harrogate Railway-

Bradford PA-

TBD-

Worksop-

North Ferriby United-

TBD-

Ossett Albion1

Lincoln Utd.3

Burscough-

TBD-

Clitheroe3

Salford4

Marine-

TBD-

Chorley-

Grantham Town-

TBD-

Chasetown-

Ossett Town2

Wakefield1

TBD-

Stocksbridge-

Evesham-

TBD-

Barwell-

Sheffield FC5

Warrington Town4

Cammell Laird0

Bamber Bridge3

Leamington-

TBD-

Halesowen0

Romulus1

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive)-

TBD-

Quorn0

Biggleswade Town5

Whitby-

TBD-

Skelmersdale3

Woodley4

Durham2

Prescot Cables1

TBD-

Goole-

Frickley-

TBD-

United of Manchester-

Leek Town-

TBD-

Rainworth1

Hucknall2

Brigg Town2

Mossley AFC1

TBD-

Witton Albion-

Folkestone-

TBD-

Metropolitan Police-

Kidsgrove Athletic2

Loughborough Dynamo1

Stourport2

Daventry4

Grays5

Waltham Abbey1

North Greenford Utd.3

Whyteleafe4

Hendon-

TBD-

Canvey Island-

Faversham7

Walton Casuals5

Tilbury1

Walthamstow FC2

Bedford-

TBD-

East Thurrock Utd-

Margate-

TBD-

Ware0

Chipstead1

Tooting & Mitcham-

TBD-

Wealdstone-

Harrow Borough-

TBD-

Dulwich Hamlet-

Wingate & Finchley-

TBD-

Hornchurch-

Maldon & Tiptree-

TBD-

Merstham-

Hastings-

TBD-

Romford1

Bedfont Sports4

Harlow-

TBD-

Concord Rangers-

Cray Wanderers-

TBD-

Lewes-

Bury Town-

TBD-

Aveley-

Burgess Hill3

Corinthian-Casuals0

TBD-

Hythe-

Uxbridge-

TBD-

Northwood4

Sittingbourne5

AFC Hayes2

Cheshunt1

Heybridge0

Potters1

Cambridge City-

TBD-

Rushall-

Needham Market7

Ramsgate2

Ilford2

Redbridge3

Hitchin-

TBD-

Chatham3

Eastbourne Town4

Brentwood1

Leiston0

TBD-

Lowestoft-

Billericay-

TBD-

Soham1

Whitehawk7

Sutton5

Rugby1

TBD-

Neots-

Thamesmead3

Whitstable Town2

Walton & Hersham1

Enfield Town2

Sudbury6

Great Wakering1

TBD-

Arlesey-

Hemel Hempstead-

TBD-

Croydon Athletic-

Mickleover-

TBD-

Brackley-

Banbury-

TBD-

Leighton Town-

Taunton Town-

TBD-

Bishops Cleeve0

Paulton Rovers1

Carshalton-

TBD-

Beaconsfield Town0

Bideford2

Leatherhead-

TBD-

Cirencester-

Worthing FC5

Crawley Town3

TBD-

Bashley-

Marlow-

TBD-

Clevedon1

Didcot3

Chesham-

TBD-

Horsham FC-

Aylesbury Vale-

TBD-

Bridgwater United1

Tiverton3

Gosport Borough3

Slough Town0

Wimborne0

Sholing2

Kingstonian-

TBD-

Godalming Town-

Chippenham Town-

TBD-

Cinderford Town0

Poole Town3

Oxford City-

TBD-

Bognor Regis0

Mangotsfield1

Chertsey Town-

TBD-

Abingdon3

Chalfont St Peter4

St. Albans-

TBD-

Maidstone1

Ashford Town3

Thatcham2

North Leigh0

TBD-

Frome Town-

Totton & Eling-

TBD-

Weymouth-

Yate2

Hungerford1

Burnham FC0

Fleet Town1

Andover-

TBD-

Swindon Supermarine-

TBD-

Semi-finals

Curzon Ashton4

Farsley2

Barton0

Belper Town1

Chester2

Ashton United1

Newcastle Town3

Stafford6

Northwich Victoria4

AFC Fylde2

Garforth2

Buxton4

Hednesford1

Bedworth United0

Stamford0

Matlock3

Stourbridge2

Redditch1

Nantwich0

Kendal1

Radcliffe2

Harrogate Railway1

Bradford PA2

Worksop5

North Ferriby United3

Lincoln Utd.1

Burscough0

Salford1

Marine1

Chorley0

Grantham Town0

Chasetown5

Ossett Town5

Stocksbridge4

Evesham3

Barwell7

Sheffield FC3

Bamber Bridge0

Leamington0

Romulus1

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive)2

Biggleswade Town0

Whitby1

Woodley3

Durham3

Goole2

Frickley0

United of Manchester4

Leek Town4

Hucknall1

Brigg Town1

Witton Albion6

Folkestone1

Metropolitan Police0

Kidsgrove Athletic3

Daventry4

Grays3

Whyteleafe0

Hendon0

Canvey Island4

Faversham1

Walthamstow FC0

Bedford2

East Thurrock Utd3

Margate3

Chipstead1

Tooting & Mitcham0

Wealdstone3

Harrow Borough2

Dulwich Hamlet0

Wingate & Finchley1

Hornchurch2

Maldon & Tiptree4

Merstham0

Hastings1

Bedfont Sports3

Harlow3

Concord Rangers2

Cray Wanderers1

Lewes2

Bury Town1

Aveley0

Burgess Hill0

Hythe1

Uxbridge3

Sittingbourne1

AFC Hayes0

Potters1

Cambridge City2

Rushall0

Needham Market1

Redbridge3

Hitchin3

Eastbourne Town1

Brentwood2

Lowestoft3

Billericay1

Whitehawk0

Sutton1

Neots3

Thamesmead2

Enfield Town0

Sudbury1

Arlesey3

Hemel Hempstead3

Croydon Athletic1

Mickleover0

Brackley1

Banbury1

Leighton Town0

Taunton Town0

Paulton Rovers3

Carshalton3

Bideford1

Leatherhead1

Cirencester3

Worthing FC6

Bashley4

Marlow1

Didcot5

Chesham5

Horsham FC0

Aylesbury Vale1

Tiverton2

Gosport Borough1

Sholing0

Kingstonian0

Godalming Town1

Chippenham Town3

Poole Town2

Oxford City0

Mangotsfield3

Chertsey Town2

Chalfont St Peter0

St. Albans1

Ashford Town3

Thatcham1

Frome Town0

Totton & Eling2

Weymouth3

Yate5

Fleet Town0

Andover-

Swindon Supermarine-

TBD-

Final

Curzon Ashton2

Belper Town1

Chester2

Stafford0

Northwich Victoria3

Buxton0

Hednesford1

Matlock2

Stourbridge9

Kendal3

Radcliffe1

Worksop3

North Ferriby United3

Salford0

Marine5

Chasetown2

Ossett Town4

Barwell2

Sheffield FC2

Romulus0

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive)2

Woodley1

Durham2

United of Manchester4

Leek Town4

Witton Albion7

Folkestone4

Daventry2

Grays2

Canvey Island3

Faversham2

East Thurrock Utd4

Margate2

Wealdstone3

Harrow Borough1

Hornchurch2

Maldon & Tiptree3

Bedfont Sports2

Harlow3

Lewes2

Bury Town3

Hythe2

Uxbridge5

Potters2

Cambridge City1

Redbridge2

Hitchin1

Lowestoft3

Billericay2

Neots0

Thamesmead3

Arlesey0

Hemel Hempstead2

Brackley3

Banbury3

Paulton Rovers1

Carshalton3

Cirencester1

Worthing FC0

Didcot2

Chesham2

Tiverton3

Gosport Borough4

Godalming Town0

Chippenham Town3

Mangotsfield1

Chertsey Town6

Ashford Town5

Thatcham2

Weymouth7

Yate0

Swindon Supermarine1

TBD-