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Durham W vs Bristol City W

England England

WSL 2 Maiden Castle, Durham
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Blake H.
Assist: Watson L.
23'
Robinson K.
31'
Sub
Watson L. In: Speckmaier M.
Out: Watson L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this WSL 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Durham W
33%
Draws
40%
Bristol City W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bristol City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bristol City W have won more games recently than Durham W.
  • Win probability leans Bristol City W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular WSL 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Durham W Clean Sheet 16%
Bristol City W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Durham W Bristol City W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 WSL 2
Durham W vs Bristol City W
2:2
Oct 5, 2025 WSL 2
Bristol City W vs Durham W
2:1
May 4, 2025 WSL 2
Durham W vs Bristol City W
2:0
Dec 15, 2024 WSL 2
Bristol City W vs Durham W
5:0
Mar 12, 2023 WSL 2
Bristol City W vs Durham W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Durham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Blake H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bristol City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawley G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ward M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Durham W 28 / 100
Bristol City W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Durham W Bristol City W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Durham W's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Bristol City W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Durham W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Durham W VS Bristol City W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Durham W

(Home)
02 May
Newcastle Utd W
0 : 1
Durham W
26 Apr
Durham W
2 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
05 Apr
Durham W
2 : 2
Bristol City W
29 Mar
Nottingham W
2 : 1
Durham W
22 Mar
Durham W
0 : 0
Southampton FC W
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Bristol City W

(Away)
02 May
Sheffield Utd W
0 : 4
Bristol City W
26 Apr
Bristol City W
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
05 Apr
Durham W
2 : 2
Bristol City W
29 Mar
Bristol City W
0 : 1
Birmingham W
22 Mar
Bristol City W
2 : 1
Charlton W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham W22142646:2444
2Crystal Palace W22135444:2644
3Charlton W22126431:2142
4Bristol City W22114747:3137
5Southampton FC W22105744:2635
6Newcastle Utd W2289532:2533
7Nottingham W22931027:3530
8Sunderland W22661028:3524
9Ipswich W22651126:4223
10Durham W22571027:3522
11Sheffield Utd W22461221:4318
12Portsmouth W22421623:5314
Promotion - WSL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - WSL (Relegation)