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Durham W vs Sunderland W

England England

WSL 2 2025/2026 Maiden Castle, Durham
Durham W Logo

Durham W

2 - 3
FT
Sunderland W Logo

Sunderland W

Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Lambert M.
64' Event
Kitching K.
Assist: Watson K.
70'
Jones A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sunderland W in this WSL 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sunderland W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Durham W
15%
Draws
85%
Sunderland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunderland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Durham W haven't matched Sunderland W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sunderland W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular WSL 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sunderland W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.2%
Durham W Clean Sheet 10%
Sunderland W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Durham W Sunderland W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 WSL 2
Durham W vs Sunderland W
2:3
Nov 23, 2025 Women's League Cup
Sunderland W vs Durham W
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 WSL 2
Sunderland W vs Durham W
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 WSL 2
Sunderland W vs Durham W
2:0
Dec 11, 2024 Women's League Cup
Sunderland W vs Durham W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Durham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lambert M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McFarland L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sunderland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kitching K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Griffiths M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Durham W 10 / 100
Sunderland W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Durham W Sunderland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunderland W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Durham W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sunderland W let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Sunderland W has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Durham W VS Sunderland W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Durham W

(Home)
30 Sept
Durham W
1 : 5
Manchester United W
27 Sept
Sheffield Utd W
4 : 1
Durham W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2
Durham W
06 Sept
Durham W
1 : 3
Southampton FC W
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Sunderland W

(Away)
27 Sept
Watford W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
23 Sept
Liverpool W
4 : 2
Sunderland W
20 Sept
Sunderland W
0 : 0
Southampton FC W
13 Sept
Burnley W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
06 Sept
Sunderland W
4 : 1
Bristol City W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birmingham W 22 14 2 6 46:24 44
2 Crystal Palace W 22 13 5 4 44:26 44
3 Charlton W 22 12 6 4 31:21 42
4 Bristol City W 22 11 4 7 47:31 37
5 Southampton FC W 22 10 5 7 44:26 35
6 Newcastle Utd W 22 8 9 5 32:25 33
7 Nottingham W 22 9 3 10 27:35 30
8 Sunderland W 22 6 6 10 28:35 24
9 Ipswich W 22 6 5 11 26:42 23
10 Durham W 22 5 7 10 27:35 22
11 Sheffield Utd W 22 4 6 12 21:43 18
12 Portsmouth W 22 4 2 16 23:53 14
Promotion - WSL (Main)
Promotion - WSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)