Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dusheti vs Borjomi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025 Tsentraluri Stadioni, Dusheti
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Lukava G.
48' Event
Chigoevi D.
76' Event
Janelidze G.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025 game between Dusheti and Borjomi finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dusheti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Dusheti
15%
Draws
7%
Borjomi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dusheti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dusheti come out ahead of Borjomi on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dusheti taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dusheti have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Dusheti Clean Sheet 20%
Borjomi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dusheti Borjomi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Dusheti
0:1
Jun 7, 2025 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Borjomi
4:1
Sep 21, 2023 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Borjomi
6:1
Apr 27, 2023 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Dusheti
2:4
Sep 8, 2022 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Borjomi
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dusheti Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukava G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chigoevi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Borjomi Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzirkvelishvili B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dusheti 85 / 100
Borjomi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dusheti Borjomi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borjomi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Dusheti found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Dusheti remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dusheti VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dusheti

(Home)
02 Aug
Guria
1 : 2
Dusheti
25 Jul
Kolkheti 1913
0 : 1
Dusheti
17 Jul
Dusheti
4 : 3
Urartu
25 Jun
Zooveti Tbilisi
0 : 2
Dusheti
22 Jun
Telavi
1 : 0
Dusheti
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Borjomi

(Away)
05 Dec
Khobi
2 : 1
Borjomi
28 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
WIT Georgia
20 Nov
Shturmi
3 : 1
Borjomi
13 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
Dusheti
06 Nov
Margveti 2006
2 : 2
Borjomi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shturmi 30 21 7 2 68:22 70
2 Gori 30 20 7 3 58:28 67
3 Odishi 1919 30 20 4 6 59:19 64
4 Dusheti 30 19 6 5 79:35 63
5 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
6 WIT Georgia 30 14 10 6 64:32 52
7 Orbi 30 11 11 8 58:40 44
8 Didube 30 12 7 11 47:43 43
9 Merani Tbilisi 30 8 8 14 39:52 32
10 Betlemi Keda 30 7 8 15 43:71 29
11 FC Gardabani 30 8 5 17 37:67 29
12 Margveti 2006 30 7 7 16 36:71 28
13 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 8 3 19 43:68 27
14 Khobi 30 7 5 18 35:63 26
15 Borjomi 30 6 5 19 34:60 23
16 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 3 4 23 18:74 13
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2025 (Relegation)