Sport Picks
Dusseldorf vs Dresden
Germany
2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Merkur Spiel-Arena, Düsseldorf 
Match Events
11'
11'
Itten C.
Assist: Kastenmeier F.
17'
17'
Iyoha E.
Assist: Appelkamp S.
45'
45'
Sub
Lenz C. In: Raimund L.
Out: Lenz C.
AI Match Summary
Dusseldorf in this 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dusseldorf.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Dresden lately — more wins on the board than Dusseldorf.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 10%
Dresden Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dusseldorf | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 3.5 | 3.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.50 | 3.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 24, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Dresden
3:1
Nov 30, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Dusseldorf
2:1
Aug 18, 2024 DFB Pokal
Dresden vs Dusseldorf
2:0
Apr 22, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Dresden
2:2
Nov 21, 2021 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Dusseldorf
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dusseldorf Compare
Top Goalscorer Itten C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Iyoha E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75
Dresden Compare
Top Goalscorer Lemmer J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dusseldorf 29 / 100
Dresden 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dusseldorf Dresden
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dusseldorf's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Dresden conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Dusseldorf remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Dusseldorf VS Dresden
3.5 Goals Scored 3.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dusseldorf
(Home) 31 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 3 Hannover
25 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 1 Dortmund
18 Jul
LASK Linz
2 : 0 Dusseldorf
15 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 0 Ruzomberok
09 Jul
VfL Benrath
1 : 12 Dusseldorf
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 3 Hannover
25 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 1 Dortmund
15 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 0 Ruzomberok
10 May
Dusseldorf
3 : 1 Elversberg
24 Apr
Dusseldorf
3 : 1 Dresden
Page 1 of 3
Dresden
(Away) 01 Aug
Dresden
2 : 1 Union Berlin
25 Jul
Dresden
2 : 1 Energie Cottbus
25 Jul
Dresden
1 : 2 Energie Cottbus
18 Jul
Grazer AK
0 : 5 Dresden
11 Jul
Dresden
4 : 0 Kassel
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Grazer AK
0 : 5 Dresden
03 Jul
Bautzen
0 : 14 Dresden
09 May
Braunschweig
2 : 1 Dresden
24 Apr
Dusseldorf
3 : 1 Dresden
11 Apr
Nurnberg
0 : 2 Dresden
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 50:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 64:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59:45 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60:44 | 60 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 57:45 | 52 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52:47 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 47:44 | 51 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 46 |
| 9 | Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:53 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:48 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 53:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 52:58 | 39 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 16 | Greuther Furth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 49:68 | 37 |
| 17 | Dusseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 33:53 | 37 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:61 | 30 |
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
