Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dusseldorf vs Duisburg

Germany Germany

3. Liga Merkur Spiel-Arena, Düsseldorf
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Muller A.
46' Event
Remmert P.
64'
Schleusener F.

AI Match Summary

Dusseldorf in this 3. Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dusseldorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Dusseldorf
15%
Draws
46%
Duisburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Duisburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Dusseldorf at 3.09 per game, Duisburg at 1.97.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 10%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dusseldorf Duisburg
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 17 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 3.09 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 3. Liga
Dusseldorf vs Duisburg
2:1
Mar 11, 2018 2. Bundesliga
Duisburg vs Dusseldorf
1:2
Oct 2, 2017 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Duisburg
3:1
Apr 29, 2016 2. Bundesliga
Duisburg vs Dusseldorf
2:1
Nov 20, 2015 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Duisburg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dusseldorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Schleusener F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hottmann E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Duisburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Remmert P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dusseldorf 34 / 100
Duisburg 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dusseldorf Duisburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duisburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dusseldorf's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Defensive concern: Duisburg conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Dusseldorf went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dusseldorf VS Duisburg
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dusseldorf

(Home)
19 Sept
Alemannia Aachen
1 : 0
Dusseldorf
15 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Dusseldorf
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Duisburg
06 Sept
Fortuna Koln
0 : 0
Dusseldorf
28 Aug
Dusseldorf
1 : 0
VfB Stuttgart II
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Duisburg

(Away)
20 Sept
Wehen
1 : 4
Duisburg
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Duisburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Duisburg
29 Aug
Duisburg
3 : 0
Wurzburger Kickers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 7 6 0 1 19:7 18
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
4 Saarbrucken 7 4 1 2 19:12 13
5 Hoffenheim II 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Hansa Rostock 7 3 3 1 15:15 12
7 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
8 Preussen Munster 7 3 2 2 12:13 11
9 Mannheim 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
10 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
12 Fortuna Koln 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
13 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
15 VfB Stuttgart II 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
16 Wurzburger Kickers 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
17 Meppen 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
18 Regensburg 7 1 2 4 13:17 5
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 7 1 1 5 10:15 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)