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Dusseldorf vs Verl - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Merkur Spiel-Arena, Düsseldorf
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dusseldorf host Verl in the 3. Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Dusseldorf at 1.75 goals for, 1.46 against; Verl at 1.79 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Dusseldorf slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 26, 2021, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.38) back Dusseldorf to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dusseldorf
20%
Draws
40%
Verl
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Dusseldorf haven't matched Verl's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dusseldorf here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 17%
Verl Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dusseldorf Verl
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 2 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2021 Club Friendly
Dusseldorf vs Verl
2:2
Mar 22, 2008 Regionalliga North
Verl vs Dusseldorf
1:2
Sep 8, 2007 Regionalliga North
Dusseldorf vs Verl
3:0
Mar 15, 2002 Regionalliga North
Dusseldorf vs Verl
3:2
Sep 14, 2001 Regionalliga North
Verl vs Dusseldorf
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dusseldorf 30 / 100
Verl 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dusseldorf Verl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dusseldorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Dusseldorf scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Verl has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Dusseldorf has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dusseldorf VS Verl
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dusseldorf

(Home)
19 Sept
Alemannia Aachen
1 : 0
Dusseldorf
15 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Dusseldorf
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Duisburg
06 Sept
Fortuna Koln
0 : 0
Dusseldorf
28 Aug
Dusseldorf
1 : 0
VfB Stuttgart II
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Verl

(Away)
03 Oct
Hannover
2 : 0
Verl
18 Sept
Verl
2 : 1
Wurzburger Kickers
15 Sept
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 1
Verl
12 Sept
Verl
2 : 1
Meppen
05 Sept
Mannheim
0 : 1
Verl
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 7 6 0 1 19:7 18
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
4 Saarbrucken 7 4 1 2 19:12 13
5 Hoffenheim II 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Hansa Rostock 7 3 3 1 15:15 12
7 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
8 Preussen Munster 7 3 2 2 12:13 11
9 Mannheim 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
10 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
12 Fortuna Koln 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
13 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
15 VfB Stuttgart II 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
16 Wurzburger Kickers 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
17 Meppen 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
18 Regensburg 7 1 2 4 13:17 5
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 7 1 1 5 10:15 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)