Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Duzcespor vs Pazarspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Ayyildiz E.
Assist: Birdal U.

AI Match Summary

Duzcespor host Pazarspor in the 3. Lig Group 3. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Duzcespor at 0.63 goals for, 0.88 against; Pazarspor at 1 for, 0.5 against. Head-to-head, Duzcespor have won 3 to Pazarspor's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.56 vs 0.94, favoring Duzcespor. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Duzcespor
40%
Draws
29%
Pazarspor
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Pazarspor has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Duzcespor.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 3. Lig Group 3 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Duzcespor Clean Sheet 20%
Pazarspor Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duzcespor Pazarspor
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Duzcespor vs Pazarspor
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Pazarspor vs Duzcespor
1:1
Feb 3, 2019 3. Lig Group 2
Pazarspor vs Duzcespor
0:2
Sep 16, 2018 3. Lig Group 2
Duzcespor vs Pazarspor
1:0
Mar 5, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Pazarspor vs Duzcespor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duzcespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayyildiz E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Pazarspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duzcespor 32 / 100
Pazarspor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duzcespor Pazarspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duzcespor scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Pazarspor let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Duzcespor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pazarspor lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Duzcespor VS Pazarspor
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321