Sport Picks
DVS '33 Ermelo vs HVV Hollandia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between DVS '33 Ermelo and HVV Hollandia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward DVS '33 Ermelo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: DVS '33 Ermelo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- HVV Hollandia haven't matched DVS '33 Ermelo's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 10%
HVV Hollandia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | DVS '33 Ermelo | HVV Hollandia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs HVV Hollandia
2:1
Aug 28, 2013 KNVB Beker
DVS '33 Ermelo vs HVV Hollandia
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
DVS '33 Ermelo 29 / 100
HVV Hollandia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
DVS '33 Ermelo HVV Hollandia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DVS '33 Ermelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
DVS '33 Ermelo found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
HVV Hollandia has conceded goals in 88% of their last 26 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
HVV Hollandia's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
DVS '33 Ermelo VS HVV Hollandia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
DVS '33 Ermelo
(Home) 10 Oct
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Eemdijk
03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Sept
GVVV
4 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Eemdijk
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
22 Aug
DVS '33 Ermelo
0 : 1 Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 3
HVV Hollandia
(Away) 10 Oct
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Staphorst
27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3 USV Hercules
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Sportlust
06 Sept
HVV Hollandia
4 : 5 TEC
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
29 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
5 : 5 HVV Hollandia
15 Aug
Harkemase Boys
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
03 Jun
HBC
0 : 1 HVV Hollandia
30 May
Huizen
1 : 3 HVV Hollandia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Scherpenzeel | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Genemuiden | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 21 |
| 3 | ACV Assen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 19 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:13 | 16 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:18 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:19 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | 10 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 6 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | 6 |
| 15 | VV DOVO | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:28 | 4 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15:27 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9:27 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:2 | 22 |
| 2 | Lisse | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 20 |
| 5 | VV Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 6 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 8 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 10 | SV Poortugaal | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15:21 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:20 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
