Sport Picks
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Sportlust - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
Sportlust in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportlust.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportlust
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: DVS '33 Ermelo at 1.5 per game, Sportlust at 1.48.
- Sportlust are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 10%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | DVS '33 Ermelo | Sportlust |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Sportlust
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Sportlust
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs DVS '33 Ermelo
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Sportlust
1:4
Sep 28, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs DVS '33 Ermelo
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
DVS '33 Ermelo 10 / 100
Sportlust 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
DVS '33 Ermelo Sportlust
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportlust Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
DVS '33 Ermelo found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Sportlust let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
DVS '33 Ermelo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
DVS '33 Ermelo VS Sportlust
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
DVS '33 Ermelo
(Home) 03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Sept
GVVV
4 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4 DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
22 Aug
DVS '33 Ermelo
0 : 1 Harkemase Boys
30 May
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 3
Sportlust
(Away) 03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0 VV DOVO
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Sportlust
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Sportlust
29 Aug
TEC
1 : 2 Sportlust
15 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 3 Sportlust
23 May
Harkemase Boys
4 : 1 Sportlust
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
