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Championnat National Stade Agoè-Nyivé

Etoile Filante

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Championnat National encounter between Dynamic Togolais and Etoile Filante promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Dynamic Togolais averages 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Etoile Filante shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Dynamic Togolais, 1 wins for Etoile Filante, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 03.05.26 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.50 for Dynamic Togolais and 0.69 for Etoile Filante, suggesting the primary value lies in the Etoile Filante double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Dynamic Togolais

20%

Draws

45%

Etoile Filante

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etoile Filante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Dynamic Togolais picked up more points recently compared to Etoile Filante.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.50 vs 0.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 35%

Over 2.5 Goals 23%

Over 3.5 Goals 14%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25%

Dynamic Togolais Clean Sheet 28%

Etoile Filante Clean Sheet 23%

First Half Goal 32%

Second Half Goal 33%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dynamic Togolais	Etoile Filante
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	14
Draws	7	5
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	0.7	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.03	0.53
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

03.05.26 Championnat National

Dynamic Togolais vs Etoile Filante

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

03.01.26 Championnat National

Etoile Filante vs Dynamic Togolais

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

22.09.13 Championnat National

Etoile Filante vs Dynamic Togolais

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 4 - 4

4:2

06.06.13 Championnat National

Dynamic Togolais vs Etoile Filante

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

21.07.12 Championnat National

Dynamic Togolais vs Etoile Filante

Possession: 40% - 48% Cards: 0 - 4

0:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Dynamic Togolais

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Sit deep

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Etoile Filante

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Sit deep

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamic Togolais 37 / 100

Etoile Filante 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dynamic Togolais Etoile Filante

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Etoile Filante or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +35.2%

5.88

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Dynamic Togolais 39%

Etoile Filante 36%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Dynamic Togolais 33%

Etoile Filante 47%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Dynamic Togolais 35%

Etoile Filante 45%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Dynamic Togolais 37%

Etoile Filante 43%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Dynamic Togolais 32%

Etoile Filante 50%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Dynamic Togolais 40%

Etoile Filante 52%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dynamic Togolais attacking → ← attacking Etoile Filante

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamic Togolais have found the net in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Etoile Filante have conceded at least one goal in 43% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.

Dynamic Togolais remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Etoile Filante suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 47

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ASC Kara	26	18	6	2	41:13	60
2	ASKO Kara	26	17	5	4	37:19	56
3	Etoile Filante	26	12	4	10	19:14	40
4	Unisport	26	10	6	10	22:24	36
5	Entente II	26	8	9	9	17:16	33
6	Dynamic Togolais	26	9	6	11	19:23	33
7	Barracuda	26	8	8	10	18:21	32
8	Tambo	26	8	7	11	17:19	31
9	Semassi	26	8	7	11	19:24	31
10	Gbohloe-Su	26	7	10	9	16:18	31
11	Gomido	26	8	6	12	16:25	30
12	AS OTR	26	8	5	13	20:27	29
13	Binah	26	6	11	9	20:25	29
14	Espoir	26	5	10	11	13:26	25