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Dynamo Brest vs Dnepr Mogilev

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Regional Sport Complex Brestskiy, Brest
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Kortsov E.
28'
Glushchenkov K.
46'
Sub
Cherkasov D. In: Krasnov N.
Out: Cherkasov D.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Dynamo Brest and Dnepr Mogilev finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dynamo Brest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Dynamo Brest
35%
Draws
15%
Dnepr Mogilev
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dynamo Brest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dynamo Brest come out ahead of Dnepr Mogilev on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dynamo Brest a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dynamo Brest have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dynamo Brest Clean Sheet 20%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Brest Dnepr Mogilev
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 5
Draws 5 11
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.61 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Dynamo Brest vs Dnepr Mogilev
4:2
May 17, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Dynamo Brest
1:1
Nov 1, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Dynamo Brest
0:3
Jun 15, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dynamo Brest vs Dnepr Mogilev
6:1
Oct 7, 2022 Vysshaya Liga
Dynamo Brest vs Dnepr Mogilev
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Kortsov E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stepanov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Dnepr Mogilev Compare

Top Goalscorer Zabelin K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Brest 58 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Brest Dnepr Mogilev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Brest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dnepr Mogilev conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Dynamo Brest scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Dynamo Brest remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Brest VS Dnepr Mogilev
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Brest

(Home)
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2
Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Brest
07 Sept
Dynamo Brest
1 : 0
BATE
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3
ML Vitebsk
23 Aug
FK Baranovici
1 : 1
Dynamo Brest
Page 1 of 7

Dnepr Mogilev

(Away)
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2
Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)