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Dynamo Brest vs ML Vitebsk

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 Regional Sport Complex Brestskiy
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AI Match Summary

Dynamo Brest play ML Vitebsk in the Belarusian Cup 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dynamo Brest averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. ML Vitebsk averaged 2.37 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. In past meetings, Dynamo Brest won 0, ML Vitebsk won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Dynamo Brest and 1.88 for ML Vitebsk. This points to a ML Vitebsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dynamo Brest
25%
Draws
44%
ML Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: ML Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Dynamo Brest picked up more points recently compared to ML Vitebsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Dynamo Brest Clean Sheet 10%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Brest ML Vitebsk
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.31 2.37
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Dynamo Brest
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 Belarusian Cup
ML Vitebsk vs Dynamo Brest
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Dynamo Brest vs ML Vitebsk
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Dynamo Brest
1:1
Apr 4, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Dynamo Brest vs ML Vitebsk
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Brest Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

ML Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Diabate B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mesarovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Brest 30 / 100
ML Vitebsk 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Brest ML Vitebsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: ML Vitebsk or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dynamo Brest attacking → ← attacking ML Vitebsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Brest scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

ML Vitebsk let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Dynamo Brest went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

ML Vitebsk lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 58
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38