Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov Samara

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Anzhi Arena, Kaspijsk
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Dapo J. In: Sandrachuk A.
Out: Dapo J.
15' Event
Makarov D.
Assist: Oroz D.
28'
Fernando Costanza

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Dynamo Makhachkala
30%
Draws
52%
Krylya Sovetov Samara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Dynamo Makhachkala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Krylya Sovetov Samara's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Dynamo Makhachkala have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dynamo Makhachkala, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Dynamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 13%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Makhachkala Krylya Sovetov Samara
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Dynamo Makhachkala
1:4
Aug 4, 2026 Russian Cup
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Dynamo Makhachkala
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Makhachkala Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare

Top Goalscorer Makarov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Geoffrey C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Makhachkala 10 / 100
Krylya Sovetov Samara 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Makhachkala Krylya Sovetov Samara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krylya Sovetov Samara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Makhachkala found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Krylya Sovetov Samara has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Dynamo Makhachkala remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Makhachkala VS Krylya Sovetov Samara
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Makhachkala

(Home)
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
02 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
30 Aug
Rubin Kazan
3 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
Page 1 of 6

Krylya Sovetov Samara

(Away)
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2
Krasnodar
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3
Krylya Sovetov Samara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)