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Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Anzhi Arena, Kaspijsk
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Match Events

8'
Onugkha G.
15'
Pozo I.
22'
Meshchaninov A.

AI Match Summary

Dynamo Makhachkala in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dynamo Makhachkala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dynamo Makhachkala
15%
Draws
34%
Rodina Moscow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Makhachkala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rodina Moscow lately — more wins on the board than Dynamo Makhachkala.
  • Model gives Rodina Moscow a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Dynamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 14%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Makhachkala Rodina Moscow
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moscow
2:0
May 18, 2024 FNL
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moscow
2:0
Oct 23, 2023 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs Dynamo Makhachkala
0:0
Apr 15, 2023 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs Dynamo Makhachkala
2:0
Sep 25, 2022 FNL
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moscow
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Makhachkala Compare

Top Goalscorer Agalarov G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mrezigue H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Rodina Moscow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Makhachkala 27 / 100
Rodina Moscow 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Makhachkala Rodina Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodina Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Makhachkala's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Rodina Moscow has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Rodina Moscow has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Makhachkala VS Rodina Moscow
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Makhachkala

(Home)
10 Oct
Orenburg
4 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
03 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 2
Leningradets
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
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Rodina Moscow

(Away)
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 10 7 0 3 22:11 21
2 Krasnodar 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
3 Spartak Moscow 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
4 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
5 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 2 6 2 14:15 12
10 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
11 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 10 2 4 4 13:11 10
13 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
14 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 10 0 3 7 6:18 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)