Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dynamo Makhachkala vs Tuapse

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Vagidov A.
29'
Ibragimov M.
34'
Vagidov A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 game between Dynamo Makhachkala and Tuapse finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dynamo Makhachkala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dynamo Makhachkala
15%
Draws
42%
Tuapse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Makhachkala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dynamo Makhachkala come out ahead of Tuapse on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dynamo Makhachkala's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dynamo Makhachkala have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Dynamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 20%
Tuapse Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Makhachkala Tuapse
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.3 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Tuapse
3:0
Feb 3, 2022 Club Friendly
Tuapse vs Dynamo Makhachkala
0:2
Sep 4, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Dynamo Makhachkala
0:1
Jun 9, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Dynamo Makhachkala
0:0
Mar 7, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Tuapse
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Makhachkala Compare

Top Goalscorer Vagidov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gadzhiev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Tuapse Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Makhachkala 49 / 100
Tuapse 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Makhachkala Tuapse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Makhachkala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Makhachkala found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Tuapse has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Tuapse lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Makhachkala VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Makhachkala

(Home)
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
02 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
30 Aug
Rubin Kazan
3 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
Page 1 of 7

Tuapse

(Away)
05 Jun
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5 : 0
Tuapse
30 May
Tuapse
0 : 4
Spartak Nalchik
22 May
Mashuk
1 : 3
Tuapse
16 May
Tuapse
0 : 5
Legion Makhachkala
12 May
Biolog
1 : 0
Tuapse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Makhachkala 32 25 5 2 62:12 80
2 SKA Rostov-on-Don 32 24 4 4 71:22 76
3 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 32 21 7 4 88:24 70
4 Forte Taganrog 32 17 10 5 55:31 61
5 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 32 18 6 8 70:35 60
6 Kuban Kholding 32 15 9 8 46:31 54
7 Legion Makhachkala 32 12 10 10 44:31 46
8 Biolog 32 11 11 10 50:45 44
9 Anzhi 32 13 9 10 46:35 42
10 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 10 12 32:28 40
11 Maykop 32 7 11 14 25:44 32
12 Mashuk 32 7 10 15 47:54 31
13 Dynamo Stavropol 32 7 8 17 40:57 29
14 Tuapse 32 12 2 18 36:60 29
15 R. Volgograd 2 32 5 6 21 26:74 21
16 Alania 2 32 2 6 24 32:97 12
17 Yessentuki 32 2 4 26 16:106 10
Promotion - FNL 2022/2023 (Main)