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Dynamo Makhachkala vs Zenit St Petersburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Anzhi Arena, Kaspijsk
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Dynamo Makhachkala have averaged 1.36 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Zenit St Petersburg's 1.83 scored and 0.62 conceded. Head-to-head, Dynamo Makhachkala have won 0 to Zenit St Petersburg's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 2, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.81, favoring Zenit St Petersburg. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Dynamo Makhachkala
15%
Draws
57%
Zenit St Petersburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zenit St Petersburg lately — more wins on the board than Dynamo Makhachkala.
  • Model gives Zenit St Petersburg a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Zenit St Petersburg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zenit St Petersburg, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zenit St Petersburg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dynamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 11%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Makhachkala Zenit St Petersburg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 21
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.36 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Russian Cup
Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala
3:0
Jul 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala
1:1
Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala
2:0
Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Zenit St Petersburg
0:1
Mar 18, 2026 Russian Cup
Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Makhachkala 22 / 100
Zenit St Petersburg 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Makhachkala Zenit St Petersburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zenit St Petersburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Makhachkala found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Zenit St Petersburg let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Dynamo Makhachkala remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Makhachkala VS Zenit St Petersburg
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Makhachkala

(Home)
03 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 2
Leningradets
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
02 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
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Zenit St Petersburg

(Away)
04 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 0
BATE
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
05 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 2
CSKA Moscow
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)