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Dynamo Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League VTB Arena, Moscow
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dynamo Moscow host Akhmat Grozny in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Dynamo Moscow have averaged 1.83 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Akhmat Grozny's 1.32 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Dynamo Moscow have won 1 to Akhmat Grozny's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 3, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.19) point toward Dynamo Moscow. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Dynamo Moscow
20%
Draws
20%
Akhmat Grozny
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dynamo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Dynamo Moscow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Dynamo Moscow taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Moscow Akhmat Grozny
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.83 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Russian Cup
Dynamo Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
3:0
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Dynamo Moscow
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
2:2
Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Dynamo Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
1:1
Dec 2, 2024 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Dynamo Moscow
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Moscow 85 / 100
Akhmat Grozny 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Moscow Akhmat Grozny

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Dynamo Moscow stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dynamo Moscow scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Akhmat Grozny has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Moscow VS Akhmat Grozny
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Moscow

(Home)
11 Oct
Rubin Kazan
0 : 1
Dynamo Moscow
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0
Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
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Akhmat Grozny

(Away)
11 Oct
Akhmat Grozny
0 : 0
Baltika
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Moscow 10 7 1 2 15:8 22
2 CSKA Moscow 10 6 4 0 18:9 22
3 Zenit St Petersburg 10 7 0 3 22:11 21
4 Krasnodar 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
5 Spartak Moscow 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
6 Rubin Kazan 10 2 6 2 12:12 12
7 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
8 Baltika 10 3 3 4 14:12 12
9 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
10 Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 2 6 2 14:15 12
11 Akhmat Grozny 10 2 5 3 13:13 11
12 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
13 Lokomotiv Moscow 10 2 4 4 13:11 10
14 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
15 Rodina Moscow 10 1 2 7 10:25 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 10 0 3 7 6:18 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)