Sport Picks
Dynamo Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
Russia
Russian Cup VTB Arena, Moscow 
Match Events
21'
21'
Cake K.
36'
36'
Kenzhebek G.
43'
43'
Sergeev I.
Assist: Fomin D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dynamo Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Dynamo Moscow carry the better recent record into this one.
- Dynamo Moscow are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Dynamo Moscow have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Dynamo Moscow, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dynamo Moscow | Akhmat Grozny |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.85 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Russian Cup
Dynamo Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
3:0
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Dynamo Moscow
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
2:2
Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Dynamo Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
1:1
Dec 2, 2024 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Dynamo Moscow
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dynamo Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Sergeev I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gladyshev Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Akhmat Grozny Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dynamo Moscow 67 / 100
Akhmat Grozny 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dynamo Moscow Akhmat Grozny
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dynamo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dynamo Moscow went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Dynamo Moscow's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Akhmat Grozny let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Dynamo Moscow VS Akhmat Grozny
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Dynamo Moscow
(Home) 17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Dynamo Moscow
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0 Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
29 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 1 Dynamo Moscow
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0 Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
23 Aug
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 1 Rodina Moscow
19 Aug
Dynamo Moscow
0 : 1 Krasnodar
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Akhmat Grozny
(Away) 17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2 Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
15 Aug
Krasnodar
1 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
10 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
