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Stadium Background

Dynamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara

Russia Russia

Russian Cup 2025/2026 VTB Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Babaev U.
Assist: Tyukavin K.
35'
Rubens
60' Event
Fomin D.

AI Match Summary

Dynamo Moscow play Krylya Sovetov Samara in the Russian Cup 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dynamo Moscow averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1 conceded. Krylya Sovetov Samara averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Dynamo Moscow won 4, Krylya Sovetov Samara won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Dynamo Moscow and 1.19 for Krylya Sovetov Samara. This points to a Dynamo Moscow double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dynamo Moscow
6%
Draws
4%
Krylya Sovetov Samara
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dynamo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dynamo Moscow has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Krylya Sovetov Samara.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Dynamo Moscow.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Russian Cup 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Moscow Krylya Sovetov Samara
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
4:0
Oct 22, 2025 Russian Cup
Dynamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
4:0
Sep 26, 2025 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Dynamo Moscow
2:3
Aug 27, 2025 Russian Cup
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Dynamo Moscow
1:0
May 5, 2025 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Dynamo Moscow
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Babaev U.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Fomin D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Moscow 85 / 100
Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Moscow Krylya Sovetov Samara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DYN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Moscow scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

Krylya Sovetov Samara let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Dynamo Moscow went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Krylya Sovetov Samara lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Moscow VS Krylya Sovetov Samara
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit St Petersburg660019:518
2Orenburg63036:148
3Rubin Kazan62045:96
4Akhmat Grozny61058:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Krasnodar650114:514
2Dynamo Moscow630311:611
3Krylya Sovetov Samara63037:118
4PFC Sochi61058:183
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spartak Moscow640213:513
2Dynamo Makhachkala65019:713
3FK Rostov62048:97
4Pari Nizhny Novgorod61054:133
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Moscow64029:513
2Lokomotiv Moscow640210:413
3Baltika62046:95
4Akron Togliatti62046:135