Sport Picks
Dynamo Moscow vs Zenit St Petersburg
Russia
Russian Cup 2025/2026 VTB Arena, Moscow 
Match Events
12'
12'
Marichal N.
29'
29'
Mostovoy A.
(Penalty)
46'
46'
Sub
Caceres J. In: Zaydenzal L.
Out: Caceres J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Zenit St Petersburg advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dynamo Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Dynamo Moscow haven't matched Zenit St Petersburg's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Dynamo Moscow's way, sitting at 90%.
- Zenit St Petersburg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Zenit St Petersburg, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Zenit St Petersburg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 16%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dynamo Moscow | Zenit St Petersburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 21 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Zenit St Petersburg
1:3
Feb 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Moscow
2:1
Nov 27, 2025 Russian Cup
Dynamo Moscow vs Zenit St Petersburg
0:1
Nov 5, 2025 Russian Cup
Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Moscow
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Moscow
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dynamo Moscow 84 / 100
Zenit St Petersburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dynamo Moscow Zenit St Petersburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DYN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dynamo Moscow's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Recent resilience: Dynamo Moscow stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Zenit St Petersburg let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Dynamo Moscow VS Zenit St Petersburg
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dynamo Moscow
(Home) 18 Jul
Dynamo Moscow
5 : 2 CSKA Moscow
18 Jul
Akron Togliatti
0 : 1 Dynamo Moscow
10 Jul
Dynamo Moscow
10 : 0 Dynamo Moscow 2
07 Jul
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Orenburg
04 Jul
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
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18 Jul
Dynamo Moscow
5 : 2 CSKA Moscow
10 Jul
Dynamo Moscow
10 : 0 Dynamo Moscow 2
07 Jul
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Orenburg
04 Jul
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
27 Jun
Dynamo Moscow
0 : 2 Torpedo Moscow
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Zenit St Petersburg
(Away) 18 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
13 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 1 Dynamo Makhachkala
12 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 1 Crvena zvezda
08 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
4 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
05 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 1 Gimnasia L.P.
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17 May
FK Rostov
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
02 May
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3 Zenit St Petersburg
22 Apr
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 0 Zenit St Petersburg
19 Apr
Dynamo Makhachkala
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
22 Mar
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 3 Zenit St Petersburg
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Zenit St Petersburg2
Dynamo Moscow3
Spartak Moscow6
Lokomotiv Moscow3
Dynamo Makhachkala2
CSKA Moscow3
Orenburg1
Krasnodar7
Semi-finals
Dynamo Moscow5
Spartak Moscow3
CSKA Moscow3
Krasnodar5
Final
Dynamo Moscow0
Krasnodar1