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Dynamo Stavropol vs Tyumen

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 Essentuki Arena, Essentuki
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Kashtan N.
30' Event
Garaev R.
Own Goal
32' Event
Maryanov A.

AI Match Summary

Tyumen in this FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tyumen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Dynamo Stavropol
20%
Draws
47%
Tyumen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tyumen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tyumen at 1.75 per game, Dynamo Stavropol at 1.07.
  • Tyumen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dynamo Stavropol Clean Sheet 13%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Stavropol Tyumen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Dynamo Stavropol vs Tyumen
1:0
May 10, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Dynamo Stavropol vs Tyumen
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Tyumen vs Dynamo Stavropol
3:1
Sep 11, 1994 Premier League
Dynamo Stavropol vs Tyumen
0:1
May 26, 1994 Premier League
Tyumen vs Dynamo Stavropol
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Stavropol Compare

Top Goalscorer Kashtan N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Tyumen Compare

Top Goalscorer Maryanov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Stavropol 10 / 100
Tyumen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Stavropol Tyumen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tyumen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tyumen let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Dynamo Stavropol scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Dynamo Stavropol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Stavropol VS Tyumen
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Stavropol

(Home)
05 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Stavropol
30 Aug
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 2
Torpedo Miass
26 Aug
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 0
Astrakhan
23 Aug
Dynamo Stavropol
2 : 2
Dynamo Moscow 2
16 Aug
Amkar
5 : 1
Dynamo Stavropol
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Tyumen

(Away)
05 Sept
Tyumen
5 : 2
Dynamo Moscow 2
30 Aug
Tyumen
5 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
23 Aug
Zenit St Petersburg 2
1 : 1
Tyumen
16 Aug
Tyumen
4 : 3
Torpedo Miass
12 Aug
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 1
Tyumen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Bryansk 18 11 3 4 23:19 36
2 Kirov 18 8 9 1 31:16 33
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 18 7 5 6 23:22 26
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 18 6 6 6 21:20 24
5 Amkar 18 6 6 6 30:26 24
6 Dynamo Moscow 2 18 5 7 6 29:36 22
7 Zenit St Petersburg 2 18 6 4 8 33:37 22
8 Tyumen 18 5 5 8 25:25 20
9 Dynamo Stavropol 18 5 3 10 20:26 18
10 Kuban 18 4 6 8 17:25 18
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Fall Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 (Relegation)