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Dynamo Stavropol vs Tyumen

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FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 Essentuki Arena
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AI Match Summary

Dynamo Stavropol play Tyumen in the FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dynamo Stavropol averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Tyumen averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Dynamo Stavropol won 1, Tyumen won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Dynamo Stavropol and 1.31 for Tyumen. This points to a Dynamo Stavropol double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Dynamo Stavropol
26%
Draws
35%
Tyumen
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Dynamo Stavropol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dynamo Stavropol picked up more points recently compared to Tyumen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Dynamo Stavropol Clean Sheet 18%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Stavropol Tyumen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Dynamo Stavropol vs Tyumen
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Tyumen vs Dynamo Stavropol
3:1
Sep 11, 1994 Premier League
Dynamo Stavropol vs Tyumen
0:1
May 26, 1994 Premier League
Tyumen vs Dynamo Stavropol
1:1
Jul 30, 1992 Premier League
Dynamo Stavropol vs Tyumen
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Stavropol Compare

Top Goalscorer Kashtan N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tyumen Compare

Top Goalscorer Maryanov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Stavropol 39 / 100
Tyumen 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Stavropol Tyumen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dynamo Stavropol or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dynamo Stavropol attacking → ← attacking Tyumen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Stavropol scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Tyumen let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Dynamo Stavropol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tyumen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 33
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1D. Bryansk18113423:1936
2Kirov1889131:1633
3Alania Vladikavkaz1875623:2226
4Dynamo Vladivostok1866621:2024
5Amkar1866630:2624
6Dynamo Moscow 21857629:3622
7Zenit St Petersburg 21864833:3722
8Tyumen1855825:2520
9Dynamo Stavropol18531020:2618
10Kuban1846817:2518