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Dziugas Telsiai vs FC Stumbras 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2019
Tue, Jun 18, 2019
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dziugas Telsiai host FC Stumbras 2 in the I Lyga 2019. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Dziugas Telsiai at 1.32 goals for, 1.19 against; FC Stumbras 2 at 0.91 for, 1.64 against. Head-to-head, Dziugas Telsiai have won 1 to FC Stumbras 2's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2019, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.54 - 1.06) back Dziugas Telsiai to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Dziugas Telsiai
15%
Draws
73%
FC Stumbras 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Stumbras 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Dziugas Telsiai have won more games recently than FC Stumbras 2.
  • FC Stumbras 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular I Lyga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 20%
FC Stumbras 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dziugas Telsiai FC Stumbras 2
Matches Played 31 11
Wins 14 4
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.32 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2019 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs Dziugas Telsiai
0:0
Jun 18, 2019 I Lyga
Dziugas Telsiai vs FC Stumbras 2
3:0
Oct 17, 2018 I Lyga
Dziugas Telsiai vs FC Stumbras 2
1:1
May 11, 2018 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs Dziugas Telsiai
3:1
Jul 30, 2017 I Lyga
Dziugas Telsiai vs FC Stumbras 2
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dziugas Telsiai 10 / 100
FC Stumbras 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dziugas Telsiai FC Stumbras 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Stumbras 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dziugas Telsiai scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Stumbras 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: FC Stumbras 2 conceded in 55% of 11 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dziugas Telsiai VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dziugas Telsiai

(Home)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 7

FC Stumbras 2

(Away)
23 Jun
FC Hegelmann
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
18 Jun
Dziugas Telsiai
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
20 May
Banga
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
13 May
Dainava Alytus
0 : 2
FC Stumbras 2
05 May
FC Stumbras 2
4 : 0
Riteriai 2
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dziugas Telsiai 28 19 4 5 58:23 61
2 Banga 28 17 5 6 57:24 56
3 Vilniaus Vytis 28 17 4 7 74:31 55
4 Dainava Alytus 28 17 2 9 64:32 53
5 Nevezis Kedainiai 28 16 4 8 66:37 52
6 FA Siauliai 28 14 5 9 61:37 47
7 FC Hegelmann 28 12 8 8 57:42 44
8 FK Minija 28 12 5 11 54:49 41
9 Jonava 28 12 4 12 55:46 40
10 Kupiskis 28 10 6 12 49:56 36
11 BFA Vilnius 28 10 3 15 56:53 33
12 Riteriai 2 28 9 5 14 61:49 32
13 Zalgiris 2 28 6 4 18 43:83 22
14 FK Atmosfera 28 3 4 21 23:96 13
15 FC Pakruojis 28 3 3 22 25:145 12
16 FC Stumbras 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)