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Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Telsiai Central Stadium, Telsiai
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dziugas Telsiai host FK Panevezys in the TOPLYGA. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Dziugas Telsiai at 1.24 goals for, 1.28 against; FK Panevezys at 1.3 for, 1.27 against. Head-to-head, Dziugas Telsiai have won 2 to FK Panevezys's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 3, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.88) point toward Dziugas Telsiai. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Dziugas Telsiai
15%
Draws
78%
FK Panevezys
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Dziugas Telsiai have managed 1.24 goals a game lately — FK Panevezys are scoring more at 1.3.
  • FK Panevezys are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 10%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dziugas Telsiai FK Panevezys
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai
1:1
May 30, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys
4:0
Apr 5, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Club Friendly
FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dziugas Telsiai 10 / 100
FK Panevezys 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dziugas Telsiai FK Panevezys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Panevezys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dziugas Telsiai's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

FK Panevezys has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Dziugas Telsiai stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dziugas Telsiai VS FK Panevezys
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dziugas Telsiai

(Home)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

FK Panevezys

(Away)
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)