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East Bengal vs Downtown Heroes

India India

Durand Cup 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

East Bengal play Downtown Heroes in the Durand Cup 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, East Bengal averaged 2.26 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Downtown Heroes averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, East Bengal won 1, Downtown Heroes won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 7, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for East Bengal and 0.88 for Downtown Heroes. This points to a East Bengal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
East Bengal
20%
Draws
26%
Downtown Heroes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: East Bengal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • East Bengal picked up more points recently compared to Downtown Heroes.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 25%
Downtown Heroes Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Bengal Downtown Heroes
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 19 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.26 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.52

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2024 Durand Cup
East Bengal vs Downtown Heroes
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Bengal Compare

Top Goalscorer Talal M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader TK J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Downtown Heroes Compare

Top Goalscorer Basharat A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Bengal 54 / 100
Downtown Heroes 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Bengal Downtown Heroes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Bengal Win (1)
Secondary Pick East Bengal & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

East Bengal attacking → ← attacking Downtown Heroes

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Bengal scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Downtown Heroes let in goals in 72% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

East Bengal went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Downtown Heroes lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 31
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mohun Bagan22007:07
2East Bengal22006:27
3Downtown Heroes31023:43
4Indian Air Force (New Delhi)30031:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bengaluru FC330010:29
2Mohammedan31114:44
3Inter Kashi31113:54
4Indian Navy30031:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kerala Blasters321016:17
2Minerva Punjab32107:17
3CISF Protectors31022:103
4Mumbai City30030:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Army Red33007:29
2Jamshedpur32017:46
3Chennaiyin FC31023:43
4Assam Rifles30031:80
5Bangladesh Army00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North East United330011:19
2Bodoland FC32016:56
3Odisha FC31026:73
4Border Security Force30033:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lajong32104:17
2FC Goa32107:57
3Nepal Army31023:33
4Rangdajied United30033:80
5Hyderabad00000:00