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East Bengal vs Minerva Punjab - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

IFA Shield Salt Lake Stadium, Kolkata
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Raposo D.
90'
Prabhu N.
90'
Prabhu N.

AI Match Summary

The IFA Shield game between East Bengal and Minerva Punjab finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minerva Punjab.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
East Bengal
15%
Draws
42%
Minerva Punjab
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: East Bengal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Minerva Punjab haven't matched East Bengal's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans East Bengal's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 20%
Minerva Punjab Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Bengal Minerva Punjab
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 22 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.49 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 IFA Shield
East Bengal vs Minerva Punjab
0:1
May 11, 2026 ISL
East Bengal vs Minerva Punjab
0:0
Dec 4, 2025 Super Cup
East Bengal vs Minerva Punjab
3:1
Feb 22, 2025 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs East Bengal
1:3
Dec 17, 2024 ISL
East Bengal vs Minerva Punjab
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Bengal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Minerva Punjab Compare

Top Goalscorer Raposo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Bengal 42 / 100
Minerva Punjab 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Bengal Minerva Punjab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: East Bengal scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: East Bengal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Minerva Punjab has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

East Bengal VS Minerva Punjab
1.5 Goals Scored 1.6
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.2
75% Over 1.5 20%
25% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

East Bengal

(Home)
08 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
East Bengal
05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2
North East United
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1
Minerva Punjab
24 Sept
Calcutta Customs
1 : 3
East Bengal
19 Sept
Coal India
0 : 7
East Bengal
Page 1 of 7

Minerva Punjab

(Away)
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
Minerva Punjab
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1
Minerva Punjab
27 Sept
Calcutta Customs
0 : 7
Minerva Punjab
21 May
Minerva Punjab
0 : 2
Mumbai City
16 May
Odisha FC
2 : 3
Minerva Punjab
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minerva Punjab 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 East Bengal 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Calcutta Customs 2 0 0 2 1:10 0
4 Mohammedan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - IFA Shield (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 2 1 1 0 7:1 4
2 North East United 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Sreenidi Deccan 2 0 0 2 0:9 0
Promotion - IFA Shield (Play Offs)