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East Bengal vs Mohammedan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

Calcutta Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Lalthankima
90' Event
Hemram A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Calcutta Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
East Bengal
15%
Draws
37%
Mohammedan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: East Bengal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • East Bengal have won more games recently than Mohammedan.
  • East Bengal are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 20%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Bengal Mohammedan
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 22 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.6 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 IFA Shield
Mohammedan vs East Bengal
0:0
Sep 14, 2026 Calcutta Premier Division
East Bengal vs Mohammedan
1:1
Mar 23, 2026 ISL
East Bengal vs Mohammedan
7:0
Feb 16, 2025 ISL
Mohammedan vs East Bengal
1:3
Nov 9, 2024 ISL
East Bengal vs Mohammedan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Bengal Compare

Top Goalscorer Hemram A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Mohammedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lalthankima
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Bengal 76 / 100
Mohammedan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Bengal Mohammedan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Bengal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Bengal scored in 86% of their last 35 games.

Defensive concern: Mohammedan conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: East Bengal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

East Bengal VS Mohammedan
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

East Bengal

(Home)
08 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
East Bengal
05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2
North East United
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1
Minerva Punjab
24 Sept
Calcutta Customs
1 : 3
East Bengal
19 Sept
Coal India
0 : 7
East Bengal
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Mohammedan

(Away)
19 Sept
Mohun Bagan U23
3 : 2
Mohammedan
14 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohammedan
11 Sept
Mohammedan
2 : 0
Bhawanipore
04 Sept
Peerless
2 : 0
Mohammedan
31 Aug
Kalighat SL
1 : 2
Mohammedan
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