Sport Picks
East Bengal vs Mohun Bagan
India
IFA Shield Salt Lake Stadium 
AI Match Summary
East Bengal play Mohun Bagan in the IFA Shield. It looks like a close match. Recently, East Bengal averaged 2.27 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Mohun Bagan averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. In past meetings, East Bengal won 1, Mohun Bagan won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for East Bengal and 1.38 for Mohun Bagan. This points to a East Bengal double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- East Bengal picked up more points recently compared to Mohun Bagan.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.38 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | East Bengal | Mohun Bagan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2.27 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
East Bengal Compare
Mohun Bagan Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
East Bengal scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Mohun Bagan let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
East Bengal went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Mohun Bagan lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics