Sport Picks

East Bengal vs Mohun Bagan Prediction & H2H Stats

India

Durand Cup

East Bengal

0 - 1

Mohun Bagan

Our Tip

Match Events

52'

Samad S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

East Bengal

30%

Draws

39%

Mohun Bagan

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to East Bengal lately — more wins on the board than Mohun Bagan.
Model gives East Bengal a 31% chance of winning this.
East Bengal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Mohun Bagan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

East Bengal Clean Sheet 68%

Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	East Bengal	Mohun Bagan
Matches Played	35	28
Wins	23	17
Draws	9	8
Losses	3	3
Goals Scored	2.57	2.14
Goals Conceded	0.66	0.64
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Durand Cup

East Bengal vs Mohun Bagan

4:1

Jul 25, 2026 Durand Cup

East Bengal vs Mohun Bagan

0:1

May 17, 2026 ISL

Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal

1:1

Oct 31, 2025 Super Cup

Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal

0:0

Oct 18, 2025 IFA Shield

East Bengal vs Mohun Bagan

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Bengal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Samad S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.95

Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Bengal 59 / 100

Mohun Bagan 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

East Bengal Mohun Bagan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Bengal Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Bengal scored in 86% of their last 35 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: East Bengal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Mohun Bagan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

East Bengal VS Mohun Bagan

1.75 Goals Scored 1.83

0.25 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 67%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

East Bengal

(Home)

30 Sept

East Bengal

0 : 1

Minerva Punjab

24 Sept

Calcutta Customs

1 : 3

East Bengal

19 Sept

Coal India

0 : 7

East Bengal

16 Sept

Al Hussein

2 : 2

East Bengal

14 Sept

East Bengal

1 : 1

Mohammedan

Page 1 of 7

Mohun Bagan

(Away)

29 Sept

Mohun Bagan

1 : 1

North East United

23 Sept

Mohun Bagan

6 : 0

Sreenidi Deccan

23 Aug

East Bengal

4 : 1

Mohun Bagan

20 Aug

Mohun Bagan

1 : 0

North East United

17 Aug

Mohun Bagan

2 : 1

Jamshedpur

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