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East Bengal vs Mumbai

India India

I-League 2016/2017 Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Plaza W.
17' Event
Plaza W.
46'
Sub
Dias A. In: Sahwney K.
Out: Dias A.

AI Match Summary

East Bengal in this I-League 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored East Bengal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
East Bengal
35%
Draws
16%
Mumbai
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: East Bengal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to East Bengal lately — more wins on the board than Mumbai.
  • Model gives East Bengal a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I-League 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 20%
Mumbai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Bengal Mumbai
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 4
Draws 9 11
Losses 1 15
Goals Scored 2.55 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2017 I-League
Mumbai vs East Bengal
0:4
Feb 1, 2017 I-League
East Bengal vs Mumbai
2:0
Apr 5, 2016 I-League
East Bengal vs Mumbai
2:2
Jan 17, 2016 I-League
Mumbai vs East Bengal
0:0
May 20, 2015 I-League
Mumbai vs East Bengal
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Bengal Compare

Top Goalscorer Plaza W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

Mumbai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Bengal 85 / 100
Mumbai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Bengal Mumbai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Bengal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Bengal's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

East Bengal has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mumbai has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

East Bengal VS -
3.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

East Bengal

(Home)
24 Sept
Calcutta Customs
1 : 3
East Bengal
19 Sept
Coal India
0 : 7
East Bengal
16 Sept
Al Hussein
2 : 2
East Bengal
14 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohammedan
11 Sept
United SC
0 : 0
East Bengal
Page 1 of 7

Mumbai

(Away)
29 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 4
East Bengal
23 Apr
Mumbai
1 : 1
Lajong
16 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 0
Chennai City FC
08 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 0
Churchill Brothers
11 Mar
DSK Shivajians
5 : 0
Mumbai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aizawl FC 18 11 4 3 24:14 37
2 Mohun Bagan 18 10 6 2 27:12 36
3 East Bengal 18 10 3 5 33:15 33
4 Bengaluru FC 18 8 6 4 30:15 30
5 Lajong 18 7 5 6 24:23 26
6 Churchill Brothers 18 5 5 8 24:26 20
7 DSK Shivajians 18 4 6 8 22:30 18
8 Chennai City FC 18 4 5 9 15:29 17
9 Minerva Punjab 18 2 7 9 17:33 13
10 Mumbai 18 2 7 9 9:28 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2018 (Qualification)