Sport Picks
East Bengal vs North East United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
India
IFA Shield Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, New Delhi 
Match Events
2'
2'
Ajaraie A.
11'
11'
Lalhlansanga D.
23'
23'
Kumar R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 7-2. This leg finished 7-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: East Bengal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- North East United haven't matched East Bengal's recent run of results.
- East Bengal are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- East Bengal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor East Bengal, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 68%
North East United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | East Bengal | North East United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 48 | 34 |
| Wins | 26 | 15 |
| Draws | 14 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.77 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 5, 2026 IFA Shield
East Bengal vs North East United
7:2
Feb 16, 2026 ISL
East Bengal vs North East United
3:0
Mar 8, 2025 ISL
North East United vs East Bengal
4:0
Nov 29, 2024 ISL
East Bengal vs North East United
1:0
Feb 10, 2024 ISL
North East United vs East Bengal
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
East Bengal Compare
Top Goalscorer Lalhlansanga D.
3 Goals Assists Leader Kumar R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89
North East United Compare
Top Goalscorer Ajaraie A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
East Bengal 77 / 100
North East United 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
East Bengal North East United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick East Bengal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
East Bengal's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 48 recent games.
North East United let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.
East Bengal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
East Bengal VS North East United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.8
75% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
East Bengal
(Home) 08 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 East Bengal
05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2 North East United
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1 Minerva Punjab
24 Sept
Calcutta Customs
1 : 3 East Bengal
19 Sept
Coal India
0 : 7 East Bengal
Page 1 of 10
05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2 North East United
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1 Minerva Punjab
14 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1 Mohammedan
07 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1 Mohun Bagan U23
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1 Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 5
North East United
(Away) 05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2 North East United
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1 North East United
26 Sept
Sreenidi Deccan
0 : 3 North East United
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 North East United
17 Aug
Lajong
2 : 5 North East United
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2 North East United
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1 North East United
26 Sept
Sreenidi Deccan
0 : 3 North East United
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 North East United
17 Aug
Lajong
2 : 5 North East United
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Mohun Bagan 1
Minerva Punjab 0
East Bengal 7
North East United 2
Final
Mohun Bagan 1
East Bengal 0
